Index of Production, UK: April 2026

Movements in the volume of production for UK production industries: manufacturing, mining and quarrying, energy supply, and water and waste management.

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Contact:
Email Short Term Outputs for Production and Services (STOPS) team

Release date:
12 June 2026

Next release:
16 July 2026

1. Main points

  • Production output was estimated to have decreased by 0.1% during the three months to April 2026, compared with the three months to January 2026; this is the first fall in three-monthly growth since November 2025 (down 0.5%).

  • There were negative contributions from three of the main sectors in the three months to April 2026; "electricity and gas" (down 2.4%), "water supply and sewerage" (down 1.0%), and "mining and quarrying" (down 0.8%); these were mostly offset by growth from "manufacturing" (up 0.6%).

  • 8 of the 13 subsectors in "manufacturing" increased during the three months to April 2026, with the largest positive contributions coming from "basic pharmaceutical products" (up 2.2%) and "computer, electronic and optical products" (up 2.9%); this was offset by negative contributions from "machinery and equipment" (down 4.0%) and "electrical equipment" (down 4.4%).

  • Monthly production output was estimated to have no growth (0.0%) in April 2026; this follows a fall in March 2026 (down 0.2%) and a rise in February 2026 (up 0.3%).

  • Monthly production saw a rise from "manufacturing" (up 0.4%) and "mining and quarrying" (up 2.5%); these were offset by falls from "electricity and gas" (down 3.2%) and "water supply and sewerage" (down 0.5%).

  • 8 of the 13 manufacturing subsectors saw increased output in April 2026, with the largest positive contributions coming from "basic pharmaceutical products" (up 4.2%) and "basic metals" (up 1.8%); the largest negative contributions came from "transport equipment" (down 1.9%) and "electrical equipment" (down 5.5%).

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2. Data on the Index of Production

Index of Production time series
Dataset DIOP | Released 12 June 2026
Movements in the volume of production for the UK production industries: manufacturing, mining and quarrying, energy supply, and water and waste management. Figures are seasonally adjusted.

Output of the production industries
Dataset | Released 12 June 2026
Index values and growth rates for production, manufacturing, and the main industrial groupings in the UK.

Index of Production and industry sectors to four decimal places
Dataset | Released 12 June 2026
Monthly index values for production and the main Index of Production sectors in the UK to four decimal places.

Monthly Business Survey turnover in production industries
Dataset | Released 12 June 2026
Monthly Business Survey production industries' total turnover, domestic sales, and exports in the UK. Figures are in current price and are non-seasonally adjusted.

Export proportions for manufacturing industries
Dataset | Released 12 June 2026
Monthly, quarterly, and annual export data for the manufacturing industries, collected by the Monthly Business Survey at industry level in the UK.

All data related to the Index of Production (IoP) are available on our Related data page.

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3. Data sources and quality

The Index of Production (IoP) uses data from a variety of sources. It is calculated by taking turnover and removing the effect of price changes, or by using direct volume estimates.

Most of these data are collected as “turnover values” through the Monthly Business Survey (MBS). Direct volume series are also collected by the Department for Energy Security and Net Zero (DESNZ), and the International Steel Statistics Bureau (ISSB) for steel industries.

The MBS is fully online. Business owners can log in from any location and submit their data at an appropriate time.

Value Added Tax (VAT) data have also been included for 64 production industries for small and medium-sized businesses from January 2018. More information is available in our VAT turnover data in National Accounts: background and methodology.

A comprehensive list of the IoP source data can be found in our Gross domestic product (GDP) data sources catalogue.

Response rates for April 2026

MBS response rates were 74.1% for April 2026, based on forms returned. This accounted for 86.5% of total turnover coverage of the sample population. For further information, see our Monthly Business Survey (production) response rates dataset.

Quality and methodology

The data reported in IoP bulletins and datasets are estimates that are subject to uncertainty, such as sampling variability and non-sampling error. More information is available in Section 2 of our Uncertainty and how we measure it for our surveys methodology.

More quality and methodology information (QMI) on strengths, limitations, appropriate uses, and how the data were created is available in our Index of Production, UK QMI.

Accredited official statistics

These accredited official statistics were independently reviewed by the Office for Statistics Regulation in April 2014. They comply with the standards of trustworthiness, quality, and value in the Code of Practice for Statistics, and should be labelled “accredited official statistics”.

Revisions to Index of Production

This release gives data for April 2026 for the first time, with no other periods open for revision.

In our next IoP publication on 16 July 2026, we will open for revision back to January 2024. This release will incorporate the revisions from our GDP quarterly national accounts, UK; January to March 2026 bulletin, published on 30 June 2026.

Seasonal adjustment

The monthly estimates of IoP are seasonally adjusted. Seasonal adjustment is the process of removing the variations associated with the time of year, or the arrangement of the calendar, from a data time series.

IoP estimates, as for many data time series, are difficult to analyse using raw data because seasonal effects dominate short-term movements. Identifying and removing the seasonal component leaves the trend and irregular components.

We use the X-13-ARIMA-SEATS approach to seasonal adjustment. Seasonal adjustment parameters are monitored closely and are regularly reviewed. For more information, please see our Seasonal adjustment methodology.

In our IoP estimates, seasonal adjustment is applied at the industry level. The seasonally adjusted series are aggregated to create estimates by sector and total IoP output. As part of our quality assurance approach, residual seasonality checks are regularly completed by our time series analysis team on both the directly seasonally adjusted series and the indirectly derived aggregate time series.

Based on our quality assurance as part of this publication, there is no statistically significant residual seasonality in our aggregate estimates for IoP in the period from January 1997 to April 2026.

This topic is explored further in our How the ONS assesses statistical outputs for residual seasonality methodology, published on 12 May 2026.

We have published non-seasonally adjusted chained volume measure time series in our updated Monthly GDP low level industry dataset. There are conceptual differences between indirect and direct seasonal adjustment. Indirect seasonal adjustment is the sum of the directly seasonally adjusted component series, typically chosen at an optimal level and depending on user needs. For the National Accounts, GDP aggregates are created with indirect seasonal adjustment. Because of processing, including benchmarking and chain-linking, direct seasonal adjustment of the non-seasonally adjusted GDP aggregate will not give the same results as the indirect seasonally adjusted output.

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5. Cite this statistical bulletin

Office for National Statistics (ONS), released 12 June 2026, ONS website, statistical bulletin, Index of Production, UK: April 2026

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Contact details for this Statistical bulletin

Short Term Outputs for Production and Services (STOPS) team
indexofproduction@ons.gov.uk