Table of contents
1. Other pages in this release
- Labour market overview
- Average weekly earnings in Great Britain
- Vacancies and jobs in the UK
- Public sector employment, UK
- Earnings and employment from Pay As You Earn Real Time Information, UK
2. Main points
- Labour Force Survey (LFS) estimates have been weighted to latest population estimates for periods from July to September 2022; headline UK seasonally adjusted series prior to this have been modelled, but other series have a discontinuity at this point.
- Increased volatility of LFS estimates, resulting from smaller achieved sample sizes, means that estimates of quarterly change should be treated with additional caution, and we recommend using them as part of our suite of labour market indicators alongside workforce jobs, Claimant Count data, and Pay As You Earn Real Time Information (PAYE RTI) estimates.
- The UK employment rate for November 2023 to January 2024 (75.0%) remains below estimates a year ago (November 2022 to January 2023), and decreased in the latest quarter.
- The UK unemployment rate for November 2023 to January 2024 (3.9%) is above estimates a year ago (November 2022 to January 2023), and largely unchanged on the latest quarter.
- The UK economic inactivity rate for November 2023 to January 2024 (21.8%) is above estimates a year ago (November 2022 to January 2023), and increased in the latest quarter.
The ongoing challenges with response rates and levels mean that LFS-based labour market statistics will be badged as official statistics in development until further review. Read more in Section 11: Measuring the data.
We are not publishing regional LFS figures as part of the March 2024 release because of an issue in the weighting of the Labour Force Survey for Northern Ireland for the November 2023 to January 2024 quarter only. The impact on UK figures will be small (around 0.1 percentage points on headline rates), so publication of UK data is not affected. We aim to publish to full regional data in our April 2024 release. The issue is unrelated to our recent work improving survey response rates.
4. Summary
Level/Rate | Confidence Interval of level/rate | Change on previous three-month period | Change on year | Change since December 2019 to February 2020 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Employment (000s, aged 16+) | 33,175 | ± 278 | -21 | +76 | +85 |
Employment rate (aged 16 to 64) | 75.0% | ± 0.6 | -0.1pp | -0.2pp | -1.2pp |
Unemployment (000s, aged 16+) | 1,359 | ± 111 | -8 | +44 | -42 |
Unemployment rate (aged 16+) | 3.9% | ± 0.3 | 0.0pp | +0.1pp | -0.1pp |
Economically inactive (000s, aged 16 to 64) | 9,250 | ± 251 | +44 | +100 | +700 |
Economic inactivity rate (aged 16 to 64) | 21.8% | ± 0.6 | +0.1pp | +0.1pp | +1.3pp |
Total weekly hours (millions) | 1,057.5 | Not available | +14.7 | +6.2 | Not available due to discontinuity |
Redundancies (000s, aged 16 years and over) | 133 | ± 33 | +71 | +40 | Not available due to discontinuity |
Redundancy rate (per thousand, aged 16+) | 4.6 | Not available | +2.5 | +1.4 | Not available due to discontinuity |
Download this table Table 1: November 2023 to January 2024 headline measures and changes
.xls .csv5. Employment
Following an increase in the employment rate since early 2012, the rate decreased from the start of the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic. There has largely been an increase since the end of 2020. In the latest quarter, the employment rate decreased and remains below pre-pandemic levels.
Figure 1: The employment rate remains below estimates from a year ago, and decreased in the latest quarter [note 1]
UK employment rates, people, men, and women, seasonally adjusted, between December 2019 to February 2020 and November 2023 to January 2024
Source: Labour Force Survey from the Office for National Statistics
Notes:
- Increased volatility of LFS estimates, resulting from smaller achieved sample sizes, means that estimates of quarterly change should be treated with additional caution.
Download this chart Figure 1: The employment rate remains below estimates from a year ago, and decreased in the latest quarter [note 1]
Image .csv .xlsPart-time workers drove the quarterly and annual decreases in the employment rate, while full-time workers increased on the quarter and on the year.
The number of people in employment with second jobs also continued to fall in the latest quarter to 3.5% of all in employment.
We also publish estimates of payrolled employees in our Earnings and employment from Pay As You Earn Real Time Information, UK bulletin and estimates of the number of jobs in our Vacancies and Jobs in the UK bulletin.
Hours worked
The number of total actual weekly hours worked has been generally increasing in the UK since the relaxation of coronavirus lockdown measures but had been slightly decreasing since April to June 2022. In the latest period (November 2023 to January 2024), total actual weekly hours worked increased on the quarter to 1.06 billion hours and are above the level a year ago (November 2022 to January 2023). Both men and women’s hours worked increased on the quarter.
Average actual weekly hours worked also increased in the latest quarter and are above the level a year ago (November 2022 to January 2023).
Back to table of contents6. Unemployment
The unemployment rate had generally been falling from late 2013 until the start of the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic. Thereafter it increased until the end of 2020 but had returned to pre-pandemic rates. The unemployment rate was largely unchanged in the latest quarter.
Figure 2: Unemployment rate was largely unchanged on the quarter [note 1], but increased on the year
UK unemployment rates, people, men and women, seasonally adjusted, between December to February 2020 and November 2023 to January 2024
Source: Labour Force Survey from the Office for National Statistics
Notes:
- Increased volatility of LFS estimates, resulting from smaller achieved sample sizes, means that estimates of quarterly change should be treated with additional caution.
Download this chart Figure 2: Unemployment rate was largely unchanged on the quarter [note 1], but increased on the year
Image .csv .xlsIn November 2023 to January 2024, those unemployed for up to 12 months decreased in the latest quarter but remain above levels a year ago (November 2022 to January 2023). Meanwhile, those unemployed for over 12 months increased in the latest quarter, following falls over the past year. We also publish the Claimant Count, a measure of the number of people who are receiving a benefit principally for the reason of being unemployed.
Back to table of contents7. Economic inactivity
Since comparable records began in 1971, the economic inactivity rate had generally been falling; however it increased during the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic and fluctuated around this increased rate. In the latest quarter, the economic inactivity rate has increased slightly.
Figure 3: Economic inactivity rate increased slightly in the latest quarter [note 1], and on the year
UK economic inactivity rates, people, men, and women, seasonally adjusted, between December to February 2020 and November 2023 to January 2024
Source: Labour Force Survey from the Office for National Statistics
Notes:
- Increased volatility of LFS estimates, resulting from smaller achieved sample sizes, means that estimates of quarterly change should be treated with additional caution.
Download this chart Figure 3: Economic inactivity rate increased slightly in the latest quarter [note 1], and on the year
Image .csv .xlsIncreases in economic inactivity in the first year of the pandemic were largely driven by those aged 16 to 24 years. Following the pandemic, increases were driven by those aged 50 to 64 years (Figure 4). Economic inactivity increased in the latest quarter, with an increase in those aged 16 to 34 years offset by decreases in those aged 35 to 64 years. Similarly, compared with a year ago (November to January 2023), the increase in economic inactivity was driven by those aged 16 to 34 years, while those aged 35 to 64 years decreased.
Figure 4: Increases in inactivity for those aged 16 to 34 years, while rates for those aged 35 to 64 years decreased
UK economic inactivity rates by age, people aged 16 to 64 years, seasonally adjusted, cumulative change from December 2019 to February 2020, for each period up to November 2023 to January 2024
Source: Labour Force Survey from the Office for National Statistics
Notes:
- Increased volatility of LFS estimates, resulting from smaller achieved sample sizes, means that estimates of quarterly change should be treated with additional caution.
Download this chart Figure 4: Increases in inactivity for those aged 16 to 34 years, while rates for those aged 35 to 64 years decreased
Image .csv .xlsThe increase seen in economic inactivity in the latest quarter and on the year was mainly driven by those inactive because they were students and those inactive because they were retired. The quarterly increase was partially offset by falls in those looking after the family or home and those inactive for other reasons. The number of those inactive because they were long-term sick fell on the quarter, but remains higher than estimates a year ago (November 2022 to January 2023).
Back to table of contents8. Redundancies
In November 2023 to January 2024, the number of people reporting redundancy in the three months prior to interview increased by 2.5 per thousand employees compared with the previous quarter, to 4.6 per thousand employees. This is also an increase compared with a year ago (November 2022 to January 2023).
We also publish our HR1: Potential redundancies dataset showing potential redundancies, covering those notified by employers to the Insolvency Service through the form, broken down by region and industry.
Back to table of contents9. Employment in the UK data
Employment, unemployment and economic inactivity by age group (seasonally adjusted)
Dataset A05 SA | Released 12 March 2024
Employment, unemployment and economic activity and inactivity by age group (seasonally adjusted). These estimates are sourced from the Labour Force Survey, a survey of households.
Full-time, part-time and temporary workers (seasonally adjusted)
Dataset EMP01 SA | Released 12 March 2024
Full-time, part-time and temporary workers (seasonally adjusted). These estimates are sourced from the Labour Force Survey, a survey of households.
Actual weekly hours worked (seasonally adjusted)
Dataset HOUR01 SA | Released 12 March 2024
Actual weekly hours worked (seasonally adjusted). These estimates are sourced from the Labour Force Survey, a survey of households.
Unemployment by age and duration (seasonally adjusted)
Dataset UNEM01 SA | Released 12 March 2024
Unemployment by age and duration (seasonally adjusted). These estimates are sourced from the Labour Force Survey, a survey of households.
Economic inactivity by reason (seasonally adjusted) (seasonally adjusted)
Dataset INAC01 SA | Released 12 March 2024
Economic inactivity (aged 16 to 64 years) by reason (seasonally adjusted). These estimates are sourced from the Labour Force Survey, a survey of households.
10. Glossary
Actual and usual hours worked
Statistics for usual hours worked measure how many hours people usually work per week. Compared with actual hours worked, they are not affected by absences and so can provide a better measure of normal working patterns. For example, a person who usually works 37 hours a week but who was on holiday for a week would be recorded as working zero actual hours for that week, while usual hours would be recorded as 37 hours.
Workers temporarily absent from a job as a result of the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic would still be classed as employed; however, they would be employed working no hours. This has directly affected estimates of total actual hours worked during the coronavirus pandemic. Since the average actual weekly hours are the average of all in employment, those temporarily absent from a job also affected these estimates.
Claimant Count
The Claimant Count is an official statistic in development that measures the number of people who are receiving a benefit principally for the reason of being unemployed. Currently, the Claimant Count consists of those receiving Jobseekers’ Allowance, and Univeral Credit claimants in the “searching for work” conditionality group.
Economic inactivity
People not in the labour force (also known as economically inactive) are not in employment but do not meet the internationally accepted definition of unemployment because they have not been seeking work within the last four weeks or are unable to start work in the next two weeks. The economic inactivity rate is the proportion of people aged between 16 and 64 years who are not in the labour force.
Employment
Employment measures the number of people in paid work or who had a job that they were temporarily away from (for example, because they were on holiday or off sick). This differs from the number of jobs because some people have more than one job. The employment rate is the proportion of people aged between 16 and 64 years who are in employment.
Workers furloughed under the Coronavirus Job Retention Scheme (CJRS), or those who were self-employed but temporarily not in work, had a reasonable expectation of returning to their jobs after a temporary period of absence. Therefore, they were classified as employed under the International Labour Organization (ILO) definition.
A more detailed explanation is available in our Guide to labour market statistics.
Redundancies
The redundancy estimates measure the number of people who were made redundant or who took voluntary redundancy in the three months before the Labour Force Survey interviews; it does not take into consideration planned redundancies.
Unemployment
Unemployment measures people without a job who have been actively seeking work within the last four weeks and are available to start work within the next two weeks. The unemployment rate is not the proportion of the total population that is unemployed. It is the proportion of the economically active population (that is, those in work plus those seeking and available to work) that is unemployed.
A more detailed glossary is available.
Back to table of contents11. Measuring the data
This bulletin relies on data collected from the Labour Force Survey (LFS), the largest household survey in the UK.
Official statistics in development
These statistics are labelled as “official statistics in development”. Until September 2023, these were called “experimental statistics”. Read more about the change in our guide to official statistics in development.
These statistics are based on information from the Labour Force Survey (LFS). The reweighting exercise has improved the representativeness of our LFS estimates for periods from July to September 2022, reducing potential bias in our estimates. Nonetheless, the ongoing challenges with response rates and levels mean that LFS-based labour market statistics are now badged as official statistics in development until further review. This is also in line with the letter from the Office for Statistics Regulation (OSR), stating that LFS statistics should not be published as accredited official statistics until the OSR has reviewed them. We advise caution when interpreting short-term changes in headline LFS rates and recommend using them as part of our suite of labour market indicators alongside Workforce Jobs, claimant count data and Pay As You Earn Real Time Information (PAYE RTI) estimates.
We are transforming how we collect and produce the LFS data to improve the quality of these statistics. We have published a Labour market transformation article providing an update on the transformation of labour market statistics. The Transformed Labour Force Survey will become the primary source of information on the labour market from September 2024.
More quality and methodology information (QMI) on strengths, limitations, appropriate uses, and how the data were created is available in our LFS QMI report.
Our LFS performance and quality monitoring reports provide data on response rates and other quality-related issues for the LFS.
Coronavirus (COVID-19)
Read more about how the labour market data sources are affected by the coronavirus pandemic in our Coronavirus and the effects on UK labour market statistics article.
For a comparison of our labour market data sources and the main differences, read our Comparison of our labour market data sources methodology.
Making our published spreadsheets accessible
Following the Government Statistical Service (GSS) guidance on Government Statistical Service (GSS) guidance on releasing statistics in speadsheets, we will be amending our published tables over the coming months to improve usability, accessibility and machine readability of our published statistics. To help users change to the new formats, we will be publishing sample versions of a selection of our tables, and where practical, initially publish the tables in both the new and current formats. If you have any questions or comments, please email labour.market@ons.gov.uk.
Back to table of contents12. Strengths and limitations
The estimates presented in this bulletin contain uncertainty. For more information on uncertainty, please see our Uncertainty and how we measure it for our surveys web page.
The figures in this bulletin come from the Labour Force Survey (LFS), which gathers information from a sample of households across the UK rather than from the whole population. The sample is designed to be as accurate as possible, given practical limitations. Results from sample surveys are always estimates, not precise figures. This can have an impact on how changes in the estimates should be interpreted, especially for short-term comparisons. For more information on sampling, see Section 2 of our Uncertainty and how we measure it for our surveys webpage.
The data in this bulletin come from the Labour Force Survey, a survey of households. It is not practical to survey every household each quarter, so these statistics are estimates based on a large sample.
As the sample gets smaller, the variability of the estimates gets larger. Estimates for small groups, which are based on small subsets of the LFS sample, are less reliable and tend to be more volatile than for larger aggregated groups.
In general, changes in the numbers (and especially the rates) reported in this bulletin between quarters are small and are not usually greater than the level that can be explained by sampling variability. Short-term movements in reported rates should be considered alongside longer-term patterns in the series and corresponding movements in other sources to give a fuller picture.
Information on the quality of estimates is available in our Labour Force Survey sampling variability table.
Comparability
The data in this bulletin follow internationally accepted definitions specified by the International Labour Organization (ILO). This ensures that the estimates for the UK are comparable with those for other countries.
Our annual Reconciliation report of job estimates article compares the latest workforce jobs series estimates with the equivalent estimates of jobs from the LFS. It is usually published in March each year following the benchmarking of Workforce Jobs.
Further information is available in our Guide to labour market statistics.
Back to table of contents14. Cite this statistical bulletin
Office for National Statistical (ONS), released 12 March 2024, ONS website, statistical bulletin, Employment in the UK: March 2024