Business insights and impact on the UK economy: 6 August 2026

• In late July 2026, 29% of businesses with 10 or more employees reported that they were concerned about international conflict affecting supply chains over the next year, while 20% were concerned about the impact of shipping disruption; these proportions were broadly stable from June 2026, but up 19 and 12 percentage points, respectively, from December 2025.

• Of businesses with 10 or more employees that reported on their supply chain concerns in late July 2026, 52% expected the cost of sourcing materials to be affected, broadly stable from June 2026; 47% expected transportation costs to be affected, also broadly stable from June but a 14-percentage point rise from December 2025.

• Almost three in five (57%) businesses expressed some degree of concern regarding energy prices in late July 2026, broadly stable from early July; for businesses with 10 or more employees, the proportion was 70%, also broadly stable from early July.

• Three in five (60%) businesses expressed some degree of concern regarding fuel prices in late July 2026, broadly stable compared with early July; for businesses with 10 or more employees, the proportion was higher at 70%, a 3-percentage point rise from early July.

• In late June 2026, 23% of trading businesses with 10 or more employees reported that they had exported goods, services, or both in the last 12 months; of these businesses, 39% reported their exporting costs increased in June 2026 compared with June 2025, a 9-percentage point increase compared with December 2025 and the highest proportion reported since June 2023 (43%).

The data presented in this bulletin are the final results from Wave 161 of the Business Insights and Conditions Survey (BICS), which was live from 20 July to 2 August 2026.

This wave of the survey asked businesses questions about:

• exporting and importing including rules of origin

• UK Conformity Assessed (UKCA) markings

• supply chains

• domestic trade

• international trade including EU trade, US trade and US tariffs

For full details of the survey questions used, see our Business Insights and Conditions Survey questions: 20 July to 2 August article.

Data reported within BICS bulletins and datasets are estimates that are subject to uncertainty, for example, sampling variability and non-sampling error. Further information on quality is available in our Business Insights and Conditions Survey quality and methodology information (QMI), and we regularly update confidence intervals associated with the survey questions.

Single-site weighted regional estimates up to Wave 154 are available in our Business insights and impact on the UK subnational single-site economy: May 2026 article.

The percentage of businesses that reported they were trading in late July 2026 was 94%, with 85% fully trading, and 10% partially trading (for example, trading with reduced hours or staff numbers). Meanwhile, 4% of businesses reported "temporarily paused trading", and 2% reported "permanently ceased trading" as their business's trading status.

Access to microdata

You can access the microdata for Waves 1 to 160 of the Business Insights and Conditions Survey (BICS) through the Secure Research Service (SRS). The BICS microdata for each wave are released on a rolling basis in the week following the publication of each wave. The microdata are made confidential and do not disclose information on any specific business.

Only researchers accredited under the Digital Economy Act, as explained on the UK Statistics Authority website are able to access data in the SRS. You can apply for researcher accreditation using the People and Projects Service (PPS). For more information, please see our guidance on the Integrated Data Service (IDS) website.

To conduct analysis with microdata from the SRS, a project application must be submitted to the Research Accreditation Panel (RAP), as explained on the UK Statistics Authority website. Project accreditation applications should be submitted using the Project Accreditation Service for SRS (PASS). For more information, please see our guidance on applying for an accredited research project.

To use the SRS, you must access it through the appropriate safe setting. For more information on the full range of safe setting options, please see our guidance on accessing data securely.

Making our published spreadsheets accessible

Following the Government Statistical Service (GSS) guidance on releasing statistics in spreadsheets, we will be amending our published tables over the next couple of publications to improve the usability, accessibility and machine readability of our published statistics. If you have any questions or comments, please email us at bics@ons.gov.uk

Private sector businesses 

The Business Insights and Conditions Survey (BICS) is a survey of private sector businesses, meaning that the public sector is not sampled. Some businesses are also excluded; please see the Coverage section of this bulletin for more information. 

Reporting unit

The reporting unit is the business unit to which questionnaires are sent. The response from the reporting unit can cover the enterprise as a whole, or parts of the enterprise identified by lists of local units.

Trading businesses    

Trading businesses refers to businesses that responded that their trading status was "currently fully trading" or "currently partially trading" only.  

If trading businesses is not specifically specified, the statistics presented refer to businesses that have "not permanently stopped trading". This includes trading businesses and those that said their trading status was "paused trading and intends to restart in the next two weeks" or "paused trading and does not intend to restart within the next two weeks".

More quality and methodology information (QMI) on strengths, limitations, appropriate uses, and how the data were created is available in our Business Insights and Conditions Survey (BICS) quality and methodology information (QMI), which was updated on 10 October 2024.

The BICS is voluntary, and the results are official statistics in development. More information is available in our Guide to official statistics in development.

The results are based on responses from the voluntary fortnightly BICS, which captures businesses' views on financial performance, workforce, prices, trade and business resilience. The Wave 161 survey was live for the period 20 July to 2 August 2026. For full details of the survey questions used, see our Business Insights and Conditions Survey questions: 20 July to 2 August article. 

Coverage

The BICS sampling frame is based on the same industries as our Monthly Business Survey (MBS). The MBS covers the UK for production industries only, and Great Britain for construction, retail and services industries. The MBS is an important input to the output measure of gross domestic product (GDP), which includes monthly GDP.

For detailed information on the industries covered by the MBS and BICS, see our GDP(o) data sources catalogue. The following are some industries that are excluded from MBS and BICS:

• agriculture

• oil and gas extraction

• energy generation and supply

• public administration and defence

• public provision of education and health

• finance and insurance

For more information on the methodology of producing the BICS, such as weighting, please see our Business Insights and Conditions Survey (BICS) quality and methodology information (QMI) report.