Regional labour market statistics in the UK: July 2018

Regional, local authority and Parliamentary constituency breakdowns of changes in UK employment, unemployment, economic inactivity and other employment-related statistics.

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Contact:
Email Bob Watson

Release date:
17 July 2018

Next release:
14 August 2018

1. Main points

  • For the three months ending May 2018, the highest employment rate in the UK was in the South West (79.2%) and the lowest was in Northern Ireland (69.8%).

  • For the three months ending May 2018, the highest unemployment rate in the UK was in London (5.1%) and the lowest was in the South West (3.2%).

  • For the three months ending May 2018, the highest economic inactivity rate in the UK was in Northern Ireland (27.5%) and the lowest was in the South West (18.1%).

  • Between December 2017 and March 2018, the largest increase in workforce jobs in the UK was in the West Midlands at 64,000, whilst the largest decrease was in the South East at 47,000.

  • In March 2018, the region with the highest proportion of workforce jobs in the services sector was London at 91.3%, which has increased by 0.5 percentage points since December 2017, whilst the East Midlands had the highest proportion of jobs in the production sector at 13.8%.

  • The highest average actual weekly hours worked, for the 12 months ending March 2018, was in London at 33.5 hours and the lowest was in the South West at 31.1 hours; for full-time and part-time workers, it was highest in Northern Ireland, at 38.3 hours and 17.4 hours respectively.

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2. Summary of latest regional labour market statistics

Table 1 shows the latest estimates for employment, unemployment and economic inactivity for March to May 2018 and a comparison with the previous quarter (December 2017 to February 2018). Comparing non-overlapping periods (March to May 2018 with December 2017 to February 2018) provides a more robust short-term comparison.

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3. Things you need to know about this release

This bulletin shows the latest main labour market statistics for the regions and countries of the UK, along with statistics for local authorities, travel-to-work areas and Parliamentary constituencies.

Data for Northern Ireland, although included in this bulletin, are available separately, in full, in the Northern Ireland Labour Market Report on the Northern Ireland Statistics and Research Agency (NISRA) website.

Updated this month

Labour Force Survey estimates for the period March to May 2018.

Annual Population Survey estimates for the period April 2017 to March 2018.

Also in this release

Workforce jobs estimates for March 2018.

Labour market statistics

Labour market statistics measure many different aspects of work and jobs and provide an insight into the economy. They are also very much about people, including their participation in the labour force, the types of work they do, the earnings and benefits they receive and their working patterns.

We have developed a framework for labour market statistics to describe the concepts within the labour market and their relationship to each other. The framework is based on labour supply and demand.

Labour supply consists of people who are employed, as well as those people defined as unemployed or economically inactive, who are considered to be potential labour supply. Our framework distinguishes between these three categories of worker and between the different working arrangements of those in employment such as employees, the self-employed and those on government schemes.

Labour demand is represented by employers, who have a need for work to be done and who offer compensation for this work to the employees who undertake it. Employers group this work to form jobs.

This approach has wide international acceptance, including by the International Labour Organisation (ILO). Users of labour market statistics include central and local government, economists, financial analysts, journalists, businesses, trade unions, employer associations, students, teachers, industrial tribunals, academic researchers and lobby groups.

They use them for the analysis, evaluation, monitoring and planning of the labour market and economy. Labour market statistics are also used for social analysis and help inform a wide range of government policies towards population groups of concern (women, young people, older people and jobless households).

About labour market statuses

Everybody aged 16 years or over is either employed, unemployed or economically inactive. The employment estimates include all people in work including those working part-time. People not working are classed as unemployed if they have been looking for work within the last four weeks and are able to start work within the next two weeks. A common misconception is that the unemployment statistics are a count of people on benefits; this is not the case, as they include unemployed people not claiming benefits.

Jobless people who have not been looking for work within the last four weeks or who are unable to start work within the next two weeks are classed as economically inactive. Examples of economically inactive people include people not looking for work because they are students, looking after the family or home, because of illness or disability, or because they have retired.

What is the relationship between the Annual Population Survey (APS) and the Labour Force Survey (LFS)?

The Labour Force Survey (LFS) is a household survey using international definitions of employment, unemployment and economic inactivity and compiles a wide range of related topics such as occupation, training, hours of work and personal characteristics of household members aged 16 years and over. Estimates are produced every month for a rolling three-monthly period; for example, February to April data in a release will be followed by data for March to May in the next release.

The Annual Population Survey (APS), which began in 2004, is compiled from interviews for the LFS, along with additional regional samples. The APS comprises the main variables from the LFS, with a much larger sample size. Consequently, the APS supports more detailed breakdowns than can be reliably produced from the LFS. Estimates are produced every quarter for a rolling annual period; for example, January to December data will be followed by data for April to March when they are next updated.

This bulletin includes labour market estimates at a regional level from the LFS on total employment, unemployment and economic inactivity. More detailed regional estimates for employment by age, full-time and part-time working, economic activity and economic inactivity by age, and reasons for economic inactivity are provided using the APS. Any estimates for geographic areas below regional level are provided using the APS. In tables where APS estimates are provided for detailed geographic areas, regional and national estimates are also provided from APS for comparability.

Making comparisons with earlier data

The most robust estimates of short-term movements in estimates derived from the Labour Force Survey are obtained by comparing the estimates for March to May 2018 with the estimates for December 2017 to February 2018, which were first published on 17 April 2018. This provides a more robust estimate than comparing with the estimates for February to April 2018. This is because the March and April data are included within both estimates, so observed differences are only between February and May 2018. The LFS is representative of the UK population over a three-month period, not for single month periods.

Seasonal adjustment

All estimates discussed in this statistical bulletin are seasonally adjusted except where otherwise stated. Like many economic indicators, the labour market is affected by factors that tend to occur at around the same time every year; for example, school leavers entering the labour market in July and whether Easter falls in March or April. In order to compare movements other than annual changes in labour market statistics, the data are seasonally adjusted to remove the effects of seasonal factors and the arrangement of the calendar.

Where to find explanatory information

A Guide to labour market statistics, which includes a Glossary, is available.

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4. Employment

Things you need to know about employment

Employment measures the number of people in work; it differs from the number of jobs because some people have more than one job.

Employment consists of employees, self-employed people, unpaid family workers and people on government-supported training and employment programmes. Unpaid family workers are people who work in a family business who do not receive a formal wage or salary but benefit from the profits of that business. The government-supported training and employment programmes series does not include all people on these programmes; it only includes people engaging in any form of work, work experience or work-related training who are not included in the employees or self-employed series. People on these programmes not engaging in any form of work, work experience or work-related training are not included in the employment estimates; they are classified as unemployed or economically inactive.

A comparison between estimates of employment and jobs is available.

Regional employment

The employment rate for people aged from 16 to 64 years for the UK was 75.7% for the period March to May 2018. This is an increase of 0.3 percentage points compared with the previous period (December 2017 to February 2018).

The UK region with the highest employment rate was the South West at 79.2%. The next highest employment rates were seen in the South East and the East of England, both at 78.7% and Scotland at 75.5%. The highest rate for the same period last year was also in the South West at 79.2%.

The region with the lowest employment rate was Northern Ireland at 69.8%, followed by the North East at 71.6%. The lowest rate for the same period last year was also in Northern Ireland at 68.7%.

The employment rate estimates for those aged 16 to 64 years for March to May 2018, compared with December 2017 to February 2018, showed a few large movements for the regions and countries of the UK. The largest increase was for the West Midlands at 1.6 percentage points, followed by Wales at 1.0 percentage point. The employment rate for the West Midlands has risen rapidly since the end of 2017, having been relatively flat over the previous couple of years. The latest estimate at 74.6%, is a record high for the region.

Additionally, the employment rates for the East of England and Wales are also at record highs. The West Midlands, East of England and Northern Ireland also have employment levels at record highs.

The largest decrease in the employment rate estimates, compared with the previous period, was for the North East at 1.8 percentage points, followed by London, at 0.4 percentage points. The most recent estimates for the North East have been at record highs and so this latest estimate is more in line with the estimates before the increase.

Over the year, the region with the largest increase in the employment rate was the West Midlands at 2.8 percentage points, followed by Wales and Scotland, both with an increase of 1.4 percentage points (Figure 1).

The North East and the South East were the only regions that had a decrease in the employment rate over the year, of 0.8 and 0.1 percentage points, respectively. The South West was the only region that saw no change compared with the same period last year.

Where to find data about employment

Employment estimates are available for each region in Dataset HI00 – Headline LFS indicators for all UK regions and HI01 to HI12 – Headline indicators for individual UK regions (Tabs 1 and 2), and Datasets LI01 to LI05 – Local indicators for subregional areas of Great Britain, for this and further estimate breakdowns by age or geographies.

These tables contain data produced from the Labour Force Survey (LFS) and Annual Population Survey (APS). A note in the “Things you need to know about this release” section on the relationship between the LFS and APS entitled “What is the relationship between the APS and the LFS?” is included in this bulletin.

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5. Workforce jobs (first published 12 June 2018)

Things you need to know about workforce jobs

Workforce jobs measures the number of filled jobs in the economy. The estimates are mainly sourced from employer surveys such as the Short-Term Employment Surveys (STES) and the Quarterly Public-Sector Employment Survey (QPSES). Workforce jobs is a different concept from employment, which is sourced from the Labour Force Survey (LFS), as employment is an estimate of people and some people have more than one job.

A comparison between estimates of employment and jobs article is available.

The services sector consists of the following industries:

  • wholesale and retail trade

  • repair of motor vehicles and motor cycles, transport and storage

  • accommodation and food service activities

  • information and communication

  • financial and insurance activities

  • real estate activities

  • professional, scientific and technical activities

  • administrative and support service activities

  • public administration and defence

  • compulsory social security

  • education

  • human health and social work activities

  • arts, entertainment and recreation

  • other service activities

  • people employed by households

The production sector consists of the following industries:

  • mining and quarrying

  • manufacturing

  • electricity, gas, steam and air conditioning supply

  • water supply, sewerage, waste and remediation activities

The “other” sector consists of agriculture, forestry and fishing, and construction industries.

The Northern Ireland self-employed component of the workforce jobs is published by the Northern Ireland Statistics and Research Agency (NISRA) as part of the Economic and Labour Market Statistics.

Regional workforce jobs

For March 2018, there were 35.18 million workforce jobs in the UK, 123,000 more than for December 2017.

Workforce jobs increased in 7 of the 12 regions of the UK between December 2017 and March 2018. The largest increase of 64,000 was in the West Midlands, followed by Yorkshire and The Humber, at 44,000.

The largest decrease was in the South East at 47,000, followed by the East Midlands, which decreased by 31,000.

Compared with the same month last year (March 2017), the largest increase in workforce jobs was in London, at 111,000. The only decreases were in the South East at 89,000, Scotland at 50,000 and Yorkshire and The Humber at 18,000 (Figure 2).

The East Midlands had the highest proportion of jobs in the production sector at 13.8%, while London had the lowest proportion at 3.0%. This is due to London having primarily service-based industries within its region, such as financial and administrative sectors.

For the services sector, London had the highest proportion at 91.3%, whilst Wales had the lowest proportion at 77.5% (Figure 3). The services sector currently accounts for 83.4% of the total workforce jobs in the UK.

Where to find data about workforce jobs

Workforce jobs estimates are available for each region in Datasets HI01 to HI12 – Headline indicators for individual UK regions (Tabs 4 and 5).

While comparable estimates for workforce jobs by industry begin in 1978, there is information back to 1841, based on census data (not comparable with the latest estimates), available from 2011 Census Analysis.

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6. Actual hours worked

Things you need to know about actual hours worked

Actual hours worked measures the number of hours worked in the economy. Changes in actual hours worked reflect changes in the number of people in employment and the average hours worked by those people.

Regional actual hours worked

For the period April 2017 to March 2018, the UK region with the highest average actual weekly hours worked (for all workers) was London at 33.5 hours, followed by Northern Ireland at 33.2 hours. The South West had the lowest number of hours worked at 31.1 hours.

The UK region with the only increase in the average hours worked, compared with the same period last year (April 2016 to March 2017) was Yorkshire and The Humber, with an increase of 0.1 hours, a percentage increase of 0.4%. The largest decreases in the average hours worked were in the West Midlands and the South West, both with a decrease of 0.6 hours (each with a percentage decrease of 1.8%).

The region with the highest average actual weekly hours worked in full-time jobs was Northern Ireland, at 38.3 hours. This represents a decrease of 0.2 hours and a percentage decrease of 0.4%, compared with the same period last year. The region with the lowest average actual weekly hours worked in full-time jobs was Scotland, at 36.3 hours. For part-time jobs, the region with the highest average hours worked was Northern Ireland at 17.4 hours and the lowest were in the East Midlands and the South East, both at 15.8 hours.

For men, the region with the highest average hours worked was Northern Ireland, at 38.4 hours and for women it was London, at 29.2 hours. The largest difference in average hours worked between men and women was in Northern Ireland, where men worked on average 10.8 more hours per week than women. The largest change compared with the same period last year (April 2016 to March 2017) was seen for women in the South West, where the average hours worked decreased by 2.7% to 25.7 hours. For men, the largest changes were in the West Midlands and London where, for both regions, the average hours worked decreased by 2.1% to 36.2 and 37.2 hours per week respectively (Figure 4).

The region with the largest difference in total hours worked between men and women was London, where men worked a total of 32.0 million more hours than women. The region with the smallest difference was Northern Ireland, where men worked only 5.0 million more hours than women.

Where to find data about hours worked

Hours worked estimates are available for each region in Datasets HI01 to HI12 – Headline indicators for individual UK regions (Tab 6). These estimates are based on data from the Annual Population Survey (APS).

The national data are also available in the UK labour market statistical bulletin in Datasets HOUR01 SA: Actual weekly hours worked (seasonally adjusted) and HOUR02 SA: Usual weekly hours worked (seasonally adjusted). These estimates are based on data from the Labour Force Survey (LFS).

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7. Unemployment

Things you need to know about unemployment

Unemployment measures people without a job who have been actively seeking work within the last four weeks and are available to start work within the next two weeks.

Regional unemployment

Regional estimates for the unemployment rate are quite volatile, which needs to be allowed for when considering the pattern of change over time.

The unemployment rate for people aged 16 years and over for the UK was 4.2%, for the period March to May 2018, down 0.1 percentage points compared with the previous period (December 2017 to February 2018) (Figure 5).

The highest unemployment rate in the UK for March to May 2018 was for London at 5.1%. The next highest rates were seen in the West Midlands and the North East, both at 4.8%. The region with the lowest unemployment rate was in the South West, at 3.2%, followed by Northern Ireland, the South East and the East of England, all at 3.5%.

The unemployment rate estimates for March to May 2018, compared with December 2017 to February 2018, are generally showing small changes. The largest increase in the unemployment rate on the previous period (December 2017 to February 2018) was seen in London, at 0.3 percentage points, followed by Scotland, at 0.2 percentage points. The North East and Northern Ireland saw no change in the unemployment rate estimates, compared with the previous period.

The largest decrease in the unemployment rate estimates was for Yorkshire and The Humber at 0.7 percentage points, followed by the East of England at 0.3 percentage points.

The region with the largest increase in the unemployment rate over the year was Scotland, with an increase of 0.5 percentage points, followed by the East Midlands and the South East at 0.4 and 0.1 percentage points respectively. All other regions of the UK are showing decreases in the unemployment rate compared with a year ago; the largest decrease was in Northern Ireland at 1.8 percentage points, followed by the North East and the West Midlands, both at 1.1 percentage points.

Where to find data about unemployment

Unemployment estimates are available for each region in Dataset HI00 – Headline LFS indicators for all UK regions and HI01 to HI12 – Headline indicators for individual UK regions (Tab 2(2)), and Datasets LI01 to LI05 – Local indicators for subregional areas of Great Britain, for further estimate breakdowns by age or geographies.

These tables contain data produced from the Labour Force Survey (LFS) and Annual Population Survey (APS). A note in the “Things you need to know about this release” section on the relationship between the LFS and APS entitled “What is the relationship between the APS and the LFS?” is included in this bulletin.

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8. Economic inactivity

Things you need to know about economic inactivity

Economically inactive people are not in employment but do not meet the internationally accepted definition of unemployment. This is because they have not been seeking work within the last four weeks and/or they are unable to start work within the next two weeks.

Regional economic inactivity

The economic inactivity rate for people aged from 16 to 64 years for the UK was 21.0%, for the period March to May 2018, a decrease of 0.2 percentage points compared with the previous period (December 2017 to February 2018).

The UK region with the highest rate was Northern Ireland at 27.5%, followed by the North East at 24.7%. Northern Ireland also had the highest economic inactivity rate at 27.4%, in the same period last year. The current rate is now 6.5 percentage points higher than the UK rate.

The region with the lowest rate was the South West at 18.1%, followed by the South East at 18.3% and the East of England at 18.4%. (Figure 6)

The region with the largest increase in the economic inactivity rate on the previous period (December 2017 to February 2018) was the North East at 1.9 percentage points, followed by Yorkshire and The Humber at 0.5 percentage points. The region with the largest decrease in the economic inactivity rate was the West Midlands at 1.5 percentage points, followed by Wales at 0.9 percentage points.

Over the year, the region with the largest increase in the economic inactivity rate was the North East at 1.8 percentage points, followed by the South West at 0.3 percentage points. The region with the largest decrease in the inactivity rate was the West Midlands at 2.1 percentage points, followed by Scotland at 1.8 percentage points. The South East was the only region that saw no change in the economic activity rate, compared with the same period last year.

Where to find data about economic inactivity

Economic inactivity estimates are available for each region in Dataset HI00 – Headline LFS indicators for all UK regions and HI01 to HI12 – Headline indicators for individual UK regions (Tabs 10 and 11), and Datasets LI01 to LI05 – Local indicators for subregional areas of Great Britain, for further estimate breakdowns by age, reason or geographies.

These tables contain data produced from the Labour Force Survey (LFS) and Annual Population Survey (APS). A note in the “Things you need to know about this release” section on the relationship between the LFS and APS entitled “What is the relationship between the APS and the LFS?” is included in this bulletin.

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9. Local labour market indicators

Things you need to know about labour market indicators

Local labour market indicators cover employment, unemployment, economic inactivity and jobs density, for subregional geographic areas such as local and unitary authorities, counties and regions in the UK for the most recent 12-month period available of the Annual Population Survey (APS). The jobs density of an area is the number of jobs per head, of resident population, aged 16 to 64 years.

Indicators from the Annual Population Survey

For the period April 2017 to March 2018, the local authorities with the highest employment rates in Great Britain were Dartford at 91.3%, the Orkney Islands at 90.3% and Basingstoke and Deane at 88.9%. Nottingham is the local authority with the lowest rate at 58.6%, followed by the City of London at 60.8% and Hartlepool at 63.1%.

For the period April 2017 to March 2018, the local authorities with the highest unemployment rates in Great Britain were Hartlepool at 8.7%, followed by Great Yarmouth at 8.0% and Nottingham and Birmingham, both at 7.8%. The local authority with the lowest rate was Eden in Cumbria, at 1.8%, followed by South Lakeland and the Orkney Islands, both at 2.0%. These were followed by a further 78 local authorities all under 3.0%.

Jobs densities

The jobs density of an area is the number of jobs per head, of resident population, aged 16 to 64 years. In 2016, the highest jobs density in Great Britain was the City of London at 118.14 and the lowest was Lewisham at 0.39. Westminster (4.41) and Camden (2.26), both in London, were the next highest jobs densities. The highest jobs density outside London was the Isles of Scilly at 2.06. After Lewisham, the lowest jobs densities were East Renfrewshire at 0.44, followed by East Dunbartonshire and Redbridge, both at 0.46 and Waltham Forest at 0.47.

Where to find data about local labour market indicators

Annual Population Survey (APS) estimates are available in Datasets LI01 to LI05 – Local indicators for subregional areas of Great Britain and Claimant Count estimates are available in Datasets CC01 – Claimant Count by unitary and local authority and CC02 – Claimant Count by Parliamentary constituency, CC02.1 – Claimant Count for constituencies of the Scottish Parliament, and CC03 – Claimant Count for local enterprise partnerships in this statistical bulletin.

These tables contain data produced from the Annual Population Survey (APS). A note in the “Things you need to know about this release” section on the relationship between the LFS and APS entitled “What is the relationship between the APS and the LFS?” is included in this bulletin.

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10. Upcoming changes and future publication dates

Future publication dates

Tuesday 14 August 2018
Tuesday 11 September 2018
Tuesday 16 October 2018
Tuesday 13 November 2018
Tuesday 11 December 2018
Tuesday 22 January 2019

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12. Quality and methodology

Accuracy and reliability of survey estimates

Most of the figures in this statistical bulletin come from surveys of households or businesses. Surveys gather information from a sample rather than from the whole population. The sample is designed carefully to allow for this and to be as accurate as possible given practical limitations such as time and cost constraints, but results from sample surveys are always estimates, not precise figures. This means that they are subject to a margin of error, which can have an impact on how changes in the numbers should be interpreted, especially in the short-term.

Changes in the numbers reported in this statistical bulletin (and especially the rates) between three-month periods are usually not greater than the margin of error. In practice, this means that small, short-term movements in reported rates (for example, within plus or minus 0.3 percentage points) should be treated as indicative and considered alongside medium- and long-term patterns in the series and corresponding movements in administrative sources, where available, to give a fuller picture.

Quality information

One indication of the reliability of the main indicators in this bulletin can be obtained by monitoring the size of revisions. These summary measures are available in Dataset S02 Regional labour market: Sampling variability and revisions summary and show the size of revisions over the last five years.

The revised data may be subject to sampling or other sources of error. Our standard presentation is to show five years’ worth of revisions (that is, 60 observations for a monthly series, 20 for a quarterly series).

Other quality information

The Quality and Methodology Information reports for labour market statistics contain important information on:

  • the strengths and limitations of the data and how it compares with related data

  • uses and users of the data

  • how the output was created

  • the quality of the output including the accuracy of the data

Quality and Methodology Information reports for various labour market topics are available:

Labour Force Survey Quality and Methodology Information

Labour Force Survey performance and quality monitoring reports

Vacancy Survey Quality and Methodology Information

Workforce jobs Quality and Methodology Information

Average weekly earnings (AWE) Quality and Methodology Information

Labour disputes Quality and Methodology Information

Further information about the Labour Force Survey (LFS) is available from the Labour Force Survey – user guide.

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Contact details for this Statistical bulletin

Bob Watson
subnational.labour.market@ons.gov.uk
Telephone: +44 (0)1633 455070