Table of contents
- Main points
- Summary of latest regional labour market statistics
- Things you need to know about this release
- Employment
- Workforce jobs (first updated 18 December 2018)
- Actual hours worked
- Unemployment
- Economic inactivity
- Local labour market indicators
- Upcoming changes and future publication dates
- Links to related statistics
- Quality and methodology
1. Main points
- For the three months ending November 2018, the highest employment rate estimate in the UK was in the South West (79.1%) and the lowest was in Northern Ireland (69.6%).
- For the three months ending November 2018, the highest unemployment rate estimate in the UK was in the North East (5.5%) and the lowest were in the South West and the East of England (both 3.1%).
- For the three months ending November 2018, the highest economic inactivity rate estimate in the UK was in Northern Ireland (27.9%) and the lowest was in the South West (18.2%).
- Between June and September 2018, the largest estimated increase in workforce jobs in the UK was in the North West at 67,000, whilst the largest decrease was in the East Midlands at 25,000.
- In September 2018, the region with the highest estimated proportion of workforce jobs in the services sector was London at 91.8%, whilst the East Midlands had the highest proportion of jobs in the production sector at 14.7%.
- The highest average estimated actual weekly hours worked, for the 12 months ending September 2018, was in London at 33.8 hours and the lowest was in the South West at 31.2 hours; for full-time and part-time workers, it was highest in Northern Ireland, at 38.4 hours and 17.8 hours respectively.
2. Summary of latest regional labour market statistics
Table 1 shows the latest estimates for employment, unemployment and economic inactivity for September to November 2018 and a comparison with the previous quarter (June to August 2018). Comparing non-overlapping periods (September to November 2018 with June to August 2018) provides a more robust short-term comparison.
Table 1: Summary of latest headline estimates for regions of the UK, seasonally adjusted, September to November 2018
UK regions | ||||||
Employment rate1 (%) aged 16 to 64 years | Change on Jun to Aug 2018 | Unemployment rate2 (%) aged 16 years and over | Change on Jun to Aug 2018 | Inactivity rate3 (%) aged 16 to 64 years | Change on Jun to Aug 2018 | |
UK | 75.8 | 0.2 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 21.0 | -0.3 |
Great Britain | 75.9 | 0.2 | 4.1 | 0.0 | 20.8 | -0.3 |
England | 76.0 | 0.2 | 4.1 | 0.1 | 20.6 | -0.3 |
North East | 71.7 | 0.4 | 5.5 | 1.0 | 24.0 | -1.3 |
North West | 75.2 | 0.5 | 4.0 | -0.2 | 21.7 | -0.3 |
Yorkshire and The Humber | 74.1 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 0.5 | 21.9 | -0.4 |
East Midlands | 75.4 | 0.6 | 4.6 | 0.3 | 20.9 | -0.9 |
West Midlands | 73.2 | -1.3 | 5.2 | 0.5 | 22.6 | 0.9 |
East | 78.6 | 0.2 | 3.1 | 0.1 | 18.8 | -0.3 |
London | 74.9 | 0.2 | 4.5 | -0.2 | 21.4 | 0.0 |
South East | 78.8 | 0.8 | 3.2 | -0.6 | 18.5 | -0.4 |
South West | 79.1 | 0.1 | 3.1 | 0.4 | 18.2 | -0.5 |
Wales | 75.8 | 0.7 | 3.9 | 0.1 | 21.0 | -0.9 |
Scotland | 75.3 | 0.3 | 3.6 | -0.2 | 21.9 | -0.1 |
Northern Ireland | 69.6 | 0.4 | 3.4 | -1.0 | 27.9 | 0.4 |
Source: Office for National Statistics, Labour Force Survey | ||||||
Notes: | ||||||
1. Calculation of headline employment rate: Number of employed people aged from 16 to 64 years divided by the population aged from 16 to 64 years. Population is the sum of employed plus unemployed plus inactive. | ||||||
2. Calculation of headline unemployment rate: Number of unemployed people aged 16 years and over divided by the sum of employed people aged 16 years and over plus unemployed people aged 16 years and over. | ||||||
3. Calculation of headline economic inactivity rate: Number of economically inactive people aged from 16 to 64 years divided by the population aged from 16 to 64 years. Population is the sum of employed plus unemployed plus inactive. |
Download this table Table 1: Summary of latest headline estimates for regions of the UK, seasonally adjusted, September to November 2018
.xls (47.1 kB)3. Things you need to know about this release
This bulletin shows the latest main labour market statistics for the regions and countries of the UK, along with statistics for local authorities, travel-to-work areas and Parliamentary constituencies.
Data for Northern Ireland, although included in this bulletin, are available separately, in full, in the Northern Ireland Labour Market Report on the Northern Ireland Statistics and Research Agency (NISRA) website.
Updated this month
Labour Force Survey estimates for the period September to November 2018.
Annual Population Survey estimates for the period October 2017 to September 2018.
Jobs Density estimates for 2017.
Also in this release
Workforce jobs estimates for September 2018.
Labour market statistics
Labour market statistics measure many different aspects of work and jobs and provide an insight into the economy. They are also very much about people, including their participation in the labour force, the types of work they do, the earnings and benefits they receive and their working patterns.
We have developed a framework for labour market statistics to describe the concepts within the labour market and their relationship to each other. The framework is based on labour supply and demand.
Labour supply consists of people who are employed, as well as those people defined as unemployed or economically inactive, who are considered to be potential labour supply. Our framework distinguishes between these three categories of worker and between the different working arrangements of those in employment such as employees, the self-employed and those on government schemes.
Labour demand is represented by employers, who have a need for work to be done and who offer compensation for this work to the employees who undertake it. Employers group this work to form jobs.
This approach has wide international acceptance, including by the International Labour Organisation (ILO). Users of labour market statistics include central and local government, economists, financial analysts, journalists, businesses, trade unions, employer associations, students, teachers, industrial tribunals, academic researchers and lobby groups.
They use them for the analysis, evaluation, monitoring and planning of the labour market and economy. Labour market statistics are also used for social analysis and help inform a wide range of government policies towards population groups of concern (women, young people, older people and jobless households).
About labour market statuses
Everybody aged 16 years or over is either employed, unemployed or economically inactive. The employment estimates include all people in work including those working part-time. People not working are classed as unemployed if they have been looking for work within the last four weeks and are able to start work within the next two weeks. A common misconception is that the unemployment statistics are a count of people on benefits; this is not the case, as they include unemployed people not claiming benefits.
Jobless people who have not been looking for work within the last four weeks or who are unable to start work within the next two weeks are classed as economically inactive. Examples of economically inactive people include people not looking for work because they are students, looking after the family or home, because of illness or disability, or because they have retired.
What is the relationship between the Annual Population Survey (APS) and the Labour Force Survey (LFS)?
The Labour Force Survey (LFS) is a household survey using international definitions of employment, unemployment and economic inactivity and compiles a wide range of related topics such as occupation, training, hours of work and personal characteristics of household members aged 16 years and over. Estimates are produced every month for a rolling three-monthly period; for example, February to April data in a release will be followed by data for March to May in the next release.
The Annual Population Survey (APS), which began in 2004, is compiled from interviews for the LFS, along with additional regional samples. The APS comprises the main variables from the LFS, with a much larger sample size. Consequently, the APS supports more detailed breakdowns than can be reliably produced from the LFS. Estimates are produced every quarter for a rolling annual period; for example, January to December data will be followed by data for April to March when they are next updated.
This bulletin includes labour market estimates at a regional level from the LFS on total employment, unemployment and economic inactivity. More detailed regional estimates for employment by age, full-time and part-time working, economic activity and economic inactivity by age, and reasons for economic inactivity are provided using the APS. Any estimates for geographic areas below regional level are provided using the APS. In tables where the APS estimates are provided for detailed geographic areas, regional and national estimates are also provided from APS for comparability.
Making comparisons with earlier data
The most robust estimates of short-term movements in estimates derived from the Labour Force Survey are obtained by comparing the estimates for September to November 2018 with the estimates for June to August 2018, which were first published on 16 October 2018. This provides a more robust estimate than comparing with the estimates for August to October 2018. This is because the September and October data are included within both estimates, so observed differences are only between August and November 2018. The LFS is representative of the UK population over a three-month period, not for single month periods.
Seasonal adjustment
All estimates discussed in this statistical bulletin are seasonally adjusted except where otherwise stated. Like many economic indicators, the labour market is affected by factors that tend to occur at around the same time every year; for example, school leavers entering the labour market in July and whether Easter falls in March or April. In order to compare movements other than annual changes in labour market statistics, the data are seasonally adjusted to remove the effects of seasonal factors and the arrangement of the calendar.
Where to find explanatory information
A Guide to labour market statistics, which includes a Glossary, is available.
Back to table of contents4. Employment
Things you need to know about employment
Employment measures the number of people in work; it differs from the number of jobs because some people have more than one job.
Employment consists of employees, self-employed people, unpaid family workers and people on government-supported training and employment programmes. Unpaid family workers are people who work in a family business who do not receive a formal wage or salary but benefit from the profits of that business. The government-supported training and employment programmes series does not include all people on these programmes; it only includes people engaging in any form of work, work experience or work-related training who are not included in the employees or self-employed series. People on these programmes not engaging in any form of work, work experience or work-related training are not included in the employment estimates; they are classified as unemployed or economically inactive.
A comparison between estimates of employment and jobs is available.
Regional employment
The employment rate estimate for people aged from 16 to 64 years for the UK was 75.8% for the period September to November 2018. This is an increase of 0.2 percentage points compared with the previous period (June to August 2018).
The UK region with the highest employment rate estimate was the South West at 79.1%. The next highest employment rate estimates were seen in the South East, at 78.8%, followed by the East of England, at 78.6%. The highest estimated rate for the same period last year was in the South East at 80.1%.
The region with the lowest employment rate estimate was Northern Ireland at 69.6%, followed by the North East at 71.7%. The lowest estimated rate for the same period last year was also in Northern Ireland at 69.0%.
The employment rate estimates for those aged 16 to 64 years for September to November 2018, compared with June to August 2018, showed few very large movements, for the regions and countries of the UK. The largest increase was for the South East at 0.8 percentage points, followed by Wales at 0.7 percentage points and the East Midlands at 0.6 percentage points. Despite the increase in the latest period, the underlying picture for employment rates in the South East has been relatively flat, with the latest increase recovering from a recent small dip in the estimated rate. Meanwhile the employment rate estimate for Wales has been growing steadily for around a year.
The only region to see a decrease in the employment rate estimate, compared with the previous period, was the West Midlands at 1.3 percentage points. This follows a period of very high estimates at the start of the summer, when the employment rate for the West Midlands was at a record high.
Figure 1: Employment rate estimates by region and comparison year-on-year, seasonally adjusted, September to November 2017 and September to November 2018
UK regions
Source: Office for National Statistics - Labour Force Survey
Download this chart Figure 1: Employment rate estimates by region and comparison year-on-year, seasonally adjusted, September to November 2017 and September to November 2018
Image .csv .xlsOver the year, the region with the largest increase in the employment rate was Wales at 3.1 percentage points, followed by Yorkshire and The Humber, with an increase of 1.1 percentage points (Figure 1).
Over the year, the only regions to show a decrease in the employment rate were the South East at 1.3 percentage points and the North East at 0.5 percentage points.
Where to find data about employment
Employment estimates are available for each region in Dataset HI00 – Headline LFS indicators for all UK regions and HI01 to HI12 – Headline indicators for individual UK regions (Tabs 1 and 2), and Datasets LI01 to LI05 ¬– Local indicators for subregional areas of Great Britain, for this and further estimate breakdowns by age or geographies. These datasets can all be found on the page: All data related to Regional labour market statistics in the UK: January 2019.
These tables contain data produced from the Labour Force Survey (LFS) and Annual Population Survey (APS). A note in the “Things you need to know about this release” section on the relationship between the LFS and APS entitled “What is the relationship between the APS and the LFS?” is included in this bulletin.
Back to table of contents5. Workforce jobs (first updated 18 December 2018)
Things you need to know about workforce jobs
Workforce jobs measures the number of filled jobs in the economy. The estimates are mainly sourced from employer surveys such as the Short-Term Employment Surveys (STES) and the Quarterly Public Sector Employment Survey (QPSES). Workforce jobs is a different concept from employment, which is sourced from the Labour Force Survey (LFS), as employment is an estimate of people and some people have more than one job.
A comparison between estimates of employment and jobs article is available.
The services sector consists of the following industries:
- wholesale and retail trade
- repair of motor vehicles and motor cycles, transport and storage
- accommodation and food service activities
- information and communication
- financial and insurance activities
- real estate activities
- professional, scientific and technical activities
- administrative and support service activities
- public administration and defence
- compulsory social security
- education
- human health and social work activities
- arts, entertainment and recreation
- other service activities
- people employed by households
The production sector consists of the following industries:
- mining and quarrying
- manufacturing
- electricity, gas, steam and air conditioning supply
- water supply, sewerage, waste and remediation activities
The “other” sector consists of agriculture, forestry and fishing, and construction industries.
The Northern Ireland self-employed component of the workforce jobs is published by the Northern Ireland Statistics and Research Agency (NISRA) as part of the Economic and Labour Market Statistics.
Regional workforce jobs
For September 2018, there were an estimated 35.13 million workforce jobs in the UK, 105,000 more than for June 2018.
Workforce jobs increased in 6 of the 12 regions of the UK between June and September 2018. The largest estimated increase of 67,000 was in the North West, followed by the South East at 61,000.
The largest estimated decrease was in the East Midlands at 25,000, followed by Wales, which decreased by 17,000. Compared with the same month last year (September 2017), the largest estimated increase in workforce jobs was in the North West at 119,000. The largest decrease was in the East Midlands at 66,000 (Figure 2).
Figure 2: Change in estimated workforce jobs, by region, seasonally adjusted, September 2017 and September 2018
UK regions
Source: Office for National Statistics- Workforce Jobs
Download this chart Figure 2: Change in estimated workforce jobs, by region, seasonally adjusted, September 2017 and September 2018
Image .csv .xlsThe East Midlands had the highest proportion of jobs in the production sector at 14.7% (Figure 3), while London had the lowest proportion at 2.8%. This is due to London having primarily service-based industries within its region, such as financial and administrative sectors.
For the services sector, London had the highest proportion at 91.8%, whilst the East Midlands had the lowest proportion at 77.4%. The services sector currently accounts for 83.1% of the total workforce jobs in the UK.
Figure 3: Proportion of workforce jobs by broad industry group, by region, September 2018
UK regions
Source: Office for National Statistics - Workforce Jobs
Download this chart Figure 3: Proportion of workforce jobs by broad industry group, by region, September 2018
Image .csv .xlsWhere to find data about workforce jobs
Workforce jobs estimates are available for each region in Datasets HI01 to HI12 – Headline indicators for individual UK regions (Tabs 4 and 5).
While comparable estimates for workforce jobs by industry begin in 1978, there is information back to 1841, based on census data (not comparable with the latest estimates), available from 2011 Census Analysis.
Back to table of contents6. Actual hours worked
Things you need to know about actual hours worked
Actual hours worked measures the number of hours worked in the economy. Changes in actual hours worked reflect changes in the number of people in employment and the average hours worked by those people.
Regional actual hours worked
For the period October 2017 to September 2018, the UK region with the highest estimated average actual weekly hours worked (for all workers) was London at 33.8 hours, followed by Northern Ireland at 33.5 hours. The South West had the lowest number of hours worked at 31.2 hours.
The UK region with the largest increase in the average hours worked, compared with the same period last year (October 2016 to September 2017) was Yorkshire and The Humber, with an increase of 0.7 hours, a percentage increase of 2.3%. The largest decrease in the average hours worked was in the South East, with a decrease of 0.7 hours, a percentage decrease of 2.3%.
The region with the highest average actual weekly hours worked in full-time jobs was Northern Ireland at 38.4 hours. This represents a percentage increase of 0.8% compared with the same period last year. The region with the lowest average actual weekly hours worked in full-time jobs was Scotland at 36.5 hours. For part-time jobs, the region with the highest average hours worked was Northern Ireland at 17.8 hours and the region with the lowest was the South West at 15.8 hours.
For men, the region with the highest average hours worked was Northern Ireland at 38.6 hours and for women it was London at 29.6 hours. The largest difference in average hours worked between men and women was in Northern Ireland, where men worked on average 10.4 more hours per week than women. The largest change compared with the same period last year (October 2016 to September 2017) was seen for women in Northern Ireland, where the average hours worked increased by 3.7% to 28.2 hours. For men, the largest change was in Yorkshire and The Humber, where the average hours worked increased by 2.3% to 36.2 hours per week (Figure 4).
The region with the largest difference in total hours worked between men and women was London, where men worked a total of 33.0 million more hours than women. The region with the smallest difference was Northern Ireland, where men worked only 5.0 million more hours than women.
Figure 4: Average (mean) estimated actual weekly hours of work, by region and by sex, October 2017 to September 2018
UK regions
Source: Office for National Statistics - Annual Population Survey
Download this chart Figure 4: Average (mean) estimated actual weekly hours of work, by region and by sex, October 2017 to September 2018
Image .csv .xlsWhere to find data about hours worked
Hours worked estimates are available for each region in Datasets HI01 to HI12 – Headline indicators for individual UK regions (Tab 6). These estimates are based on data from the Annual Population Survey (APS).
The national data are also available in the UK labour market statistical bulletin in Datasets HOUR01 SA: Actual weekly hours worked (seasonally adjusted) and HOUR02 SA: Usual weekly hours worked (seasonally adjusted). These estimates are based on data from the Labour Force Survey (LFS).
Back to table of contents7. Unemployment
Things you need to know about unemployment
Unemployment measures people without a job who have been actively seeking work within the last four weeks and are available to start work within the next two weeks.
Regional unemployment
Regional estimates for the unemployment rate are quite volatile, which needs to be allowed for when considering the pattern of change over time.
The unemployment rate estimate for people aged 16 years and over for the UK was 4.0%, for the period September to November 2018, unchanged compared with the previous period (June to August 2018) (Figure 5).
The highest unemployment rate estimates in the UK for September to November 2018 were for the North East at 5.5%, followed by the West Midlands at 5.2% and Yorkshire and The Humber at 5.0%. The regions with the lowest estimated unemployment rates were the South West and the East of England, both at 3.1%.
The unemployment rate estimates for September to November 2018, compared with June to August 2018, are generally showing small changes. The largest increase in the unemployment rate on the previous period (June to August 2018) was seen in the North East at 1.0 percentage point.
The largest decrease in the unemployment rate estimates was for Northern Ireland at 1.0 percentage point. This returns the unemployment rate to levels similar to those recorded last winter.
Figure 5: Unemployment rates by region, seasonally adjusted, September to November 2018
UK regions
Source: Office for National Statistics - Labour Force Survey
Download this chart Figure 5: Unemployment rates by region, seasonally adjusted, September to November 2018
Image .csv .xlsThere were only three regions that saw an increase in the unemployment rate estimates over the year; the East Midlands, with an increase of 0.5 percentage points, the North East at 0.3 percentage points and the South East at 0.2 percentage points. The largest decrease was in Wales at 0.9 percentage points, followed by the East of England and London, both at 0.6 percentage points.
Where to find data about unemployment
Unemployment estimates are available for each region in Dataset HI00 – Headline LFS indicators for all UK regions and HI01 to HI12 – Headline indicators for individual UK regions (Tab 2(2)), and Datasets LI01 to LI05 – Local indicators for subregional areas of Great Britain, for further estimate breakdowns by age or geographies. These datasets can all be found on the page: All data related to Regional labour market statistics in the UK: January 2019.
These tables contain data produced from the Labour Force Survey (LFS) and Annual Population Survey (APS). A note in the “Things you need to know about this release” section on the relationship between the LFS and APS entitled “What is the relationship between the APS and the LFS?” is included in this bulletin.
Back to table of contents8. Economic inactivity
Things you need to know about economic inactivity
Economically inactive people are not in employment but do not meet the internationally accepted definition of unemployment. This is because they have not been seeking work within the last four weeks and/or they are unable to start work within the next two weeks.
Regional economic inactivity
The estimated economic inactivity rate for people aged from 16 to 64 years for the UK was 21.0%, for the period September to November 2018, down 0.3 percentage points compared with the previous period (June to August 2018).
The UK region with the highest estimated rate was Northern Ireland at 27.9%, followed by the North East at 24.0%. Northern Ireland also had the highest economic inactivity rate at 28.2%, in the same period last year. The current estimated rate in Northern Ireland is 6.9 percentage points higher than the UK rate.
The region with the lowest estimated rate was the South West at 18.2%, followed by the South East at 18.5% (Figure 6).
The region with the largest increase in the economic inactivity rate estimate on the previous period (June to August 2018) was the West Midlands at 0.9 percentage points, followed by Northern Ireland at 0.4 percentage points. The region with the largest decrease in the economic inactivity rate estimate was the North East at 1.3 percentage points followed by Wales and the East Midlands, both at 0.9 percentage points.
Over the year, the region with the largest increase in the economic inactivity rate estimate was the South East at 1.1 percentage points, followed by the East of England at 0.5 percentage points. The region with the largest decrease in the inactivity rate estimate was Wales at 2.6 percentage points, followed by Yorkshire and The Humber at 1.2 percentage points.
Figure 6: Economic inactivity rate estimates by region and comparison year-on-year, seasonally adjusted, September to November 2017 and September to November 2018
UK regions
Source: Office for National Statistics - Labour Force Survey
Download this chart Figure 6: Economic inactivity rate estimates by region and comparison year-on-year, seasonally adjusted, September to November 2017 and September to November 2018
Image .csv .xlsWhere to find data about economic inactivity
Economic inactivity estimates are available for each region in Dataset HI00 – Headline LFS indicators for all UK regions and HI01 to HI12 – Headline indicators for individual UK regions (Tabs 10 and 11), and Datasets LI01 to LI05 – Local indicators for subregional areas of Great Britain, for further estimate breakdowns by age, reason or geographies. These datasets can all be found on the page: All data related to Regional labour market statistics in the UK: January 2019.
These tables contain data produced from the Labour Force Survey (LFS) and Annual Population Survey (APS). A note in the “Things you need to know about this release” section on the relationship between the LFS and APS entitled “What is the relationship between the APS and the LFS?” is included in this bulletin.
Back to table of contents9. Local labour market indicators
Things you need to know about labour market indicators
Local labour market indicators cover employment, unemployment, economic inactivity and jobs density, for subregional geographic areas such as local and unitary authorities, counties and regions in the UK for the most recent 12-month period available of the Annual Population Survey (APS). The jobs density of an area is the number of jobs per head, of resident population, aged 16 to 64 years.
Indicators from the Annual Population Survey
For the period October 2017 to September 2018, the local authorities with the highest employment rate estimates in Great Britain were Harborough at 89.0%, Chorley at 88.8% and Dartford at 88.3%. Nottingham was the local authority with the lowest rate at 62.4%, followed by Kensington and Chelsea at 62.6% and Hartlepool at 63.0%.
For the period October 2017 to September 2018, the local authorities with the highest unemployment rate estimates in Great Britain were Hartlepool at 8.3%, followed by Great Yarmouth and Nottingham, both at 7.4%. The local authorities with the lowest rates were Eden, South Lakeland and the Orkney Islands, all at 1.8%, followed by North Devon and South Hams, both at 1.9%.
Jobs densities
The jobs density of an area is the number of jobs per head, of resident population, aged 16 to 64 years. In 2017, the highest jobs density estimate in Great Britain was the City of London at 125.12 and the lowest was Lewisham at 0.41. Westminster (4.36) and Camden (2.22), both in London, were the next highest jobs densities. The highest jobs density estimate outside London was Watford at 1.68. After Lewisham, the lowest jobs densities were East Renfrewshire at 0.43, followed by Waltham Forest at 0.47.
Where to find data about local labour market indicators
Annual Population Survey (APS) estimates are available in Datasets LI01 to LI05 – Local indicators for subregional areas of Great Britain.
Claimant Count estimates are available in Datasets CC01 – Claimant Count by unitary and local authority and CC02 – Claimant Count by Parliamentary constituency, CC02.1 – Claimant Count for constituencies of the Scottish Parliament, and CC03 – Claimant Count for local enterprise partnerships in this statistical bulletin.
These datasets can all be found on the page: All data related to Regional labour market statistics in the UK: January 2019.
These tables contain data produced from the Annual Population Survey (APS). A note in the “Things you need to know about this release” section on the relationship between the LFS and APS entitled “What is the relationship between the APS and the LFS?” is included in this bulletin.
Back to table of contents10. Upcoming changes and future publication dates
Improvements planned for next month’s release
There will be revisions to estimates derived from the Labour Force Survey (including estimates of employment, unemployment and economic inactivity) back to June to August 2011, resulting from taking on board the latest population estimates and from a review of the seasonal adjustment process.
Future publication dates
Tuesday 19 February 2019
Tuesday 19 March 2019
Tuesday 16 April 2019
Tuesday 14 May 2019
Tuesday 11 June 2019
Tuesday 16 July 2019
12. Quality and methodology
Accuracy and reliability of survey estimates
Most of the figures in this statistical bulletin come from surveys of households or businesses. Surveys gather information from a sample rather than from the whole population. The sample is designed carefully to allow for this and to be as accurate as possible given practical limitations such as time and cost constraints, but results from sample surveys are always estimates, not precise figures. This means that they are subject to a margin of error, which can have an impact on how changes in the numbers should be interpreted, especially in the short-term.
Changes in the numbers reported in this statistical bulletin (and especially the rates) between three-month periods are usually not greater than the margin of error. In practice, this means that small, short-term movements in reported rates (for example, within plus or minus 0.3 percentage points) should be treated as indicative and considered alongside medium- and long-term patterns in the series and corresponding movements in administrative sources, where available, to give a fuller picture.
Quality information
One indication of the reliability of the main indicators in this bulletin can be obtained by monitoring the size of revisions. These summary measures are available in Dataset S02 Regional labour market: Sampling variability and revisions summary and show the size of revisions over the last five years.
The revised data may be subject to sampling or other sources of error. Our standard presentation is to show five years’ worth of revisions (that is, 60 observations for a monthly series, 20 for a quarterly series).
Other quality information
The Quality and Methodology Information reports for labour market statistics contain important information on:
- the strengths and limitations of the data and how it compares with related data
- uses and users of the data
- how the output was created
- the quality of the output including the accuracy of the data
Quality and Methodology Information reports for various labour market topics are available:
- Labour Force Survey Quality and Methodology Information
- Labour Force Survey performance and quality monitoring reports
- Vacancy Survey Quality and Methodology Information
- Workforce jobs Quality and Methodology Information
- Average weekly earnings (AWE) Quality and Methodology Information
- Labour disputes Quality and Methodology Information
Further information about the Labour Force Survey (LFS) is available from the Labour Force Survey – user guide.
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