Highlights
National Population Projections: 2014-based Statistical Bulletin
What's in the bulletin?
- The UK population is projected to increase by 9.7 million over the next 25 years from an estimated 64.6 million in mid-2014 to 74.3 million in mid-2039
- The UK population is projected to reach 70 million by mid-2027
- Assumed net migration accounts for 51% of the projected increase over the next 25 years, with natural increase (more births than deaths) accounting for the remaining 49% of growth
Datasets related to Population projections
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2014-based National Population Projections table of contents
Tool to locate the reference tables and supporting documentation for the 2014-based national population projections. Contains links to the 25 year and 100 year principal and variant projections for the UK and constituent countries.
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Table A1-1, Principal Projection - UK Summary
2014-based principal projection for the UK including population by broad age group, components of change and summary statistics. Mid-2014 to mid-2114
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Z1 - Zipped Population Projections Data Files, UK
Open data for UK 2014-based projections. Single year of age and sex with underlying data. Principal projections to mid-2114. Variants to mid-2039.
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Subnational Population Projections for Regions in England: Table 1
Population figures for mid-2014 to mid-2039 for persons, males and females in five year age groups for regions in England.
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Subnational Population Projections for Local Authorities in England: Table 2
Population figures for mid-2014 to mid-2039 for persons, males and females in five year age groups for local authorities in England.
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Subnational Population Projections with Components of Change (Births, Deaths and Migration) for Regions and Local Authorities in England: Table 5
Components of change, births, deaths and migration for mid-2014 to mid-2039 for regions and local authorities in England.
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Publications related to Population projections
Related bulletins
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National Population Projections: 2014-based Statistical Bulletin
National population projections provide an indication of the future size and age structure of the UK and its constituent countries based on a set of assumptions of future fertility, mortality and migration, including a number of variant projections based on alternative scenarios.
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Subnational population projections for England: 2014-based projections
Subnational population projections provide an indication of the future size and age structure of the population in the regions, local authorities and Clinical Commissioning Groups of England.
Articles
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National Population Projections: 2014-based projections
National population projections provide an indication of the future size and age structure of the UK and its constituent countries based on a set of assumptions of future fertility, mortality and migration, including a number of variant projections based on alternative scenarios.
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National Population Projections: 2014-based extra variants report
Population projections are uncertain and become increasingly so the further they are carried forward in time. In addition to the principal (main or central) projection, variant projections are therefore produced based on alternative assumptions of future fertility, mortality and net migration. In order to publish the principal and main variants as early as possible, publication is separated into 2 releases.
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National Population Projections: 2014-based reference volume, series PP2
National population projections provide an indication of the future size and age structure of the UK and its constituent countries based on a set of assumptions of future fertility, mortality and migration, including a number of variant projections based on alternative scenarios.
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Subnational population projections, research report on variant projections: 2014-based projections
This article outlines the research carried out on variant subnational population projections. It reports on the experimental work that has produced a number of variants as a “proof of concept”, and seeks feedback to inform future development.
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Subnational population projections, supplementary analysis: 2014-based projections
Supplementary analysis to the subnational population projections to help understand local area projections. Subnational population projections provide an indication of the future size and age structure of the population in the regions, local authorities and Clinical Commissioning Groups of England.
Methodology related to Population projections
Looking for local statistics?
A handy guide to let you know where to find local statistics.