1. Main points

Trends in violent crime

Over the last two decades the Crime Survey for England and Wales (CSEW) has shown long-term reductions in estimates of violent crime:

  • Victimisation rates have decreased from 4.7% of adults being a victim of violent crime in 1995 to 1.6% in the year ending March 2020; however, rates have remained fairly flat since the year ending March 2014.
  • The total number of incidents has decreased 72% from a peak of 4.5 million incidents in 1995 to 1.2 million incidents in the year ending March 2020; although there was no significant change in the last year, the downward trend has continued in recent years with the number of incidents decreasing 28% compared with the year ending March 2015 (1.7 million incidents).
  • The fall in total number of incidents since the year ending March 2015 was driven by a 41% reduction in repeat incidents, from 1.1 million incidents in the year ending March 2015 to 650,000 in the year ending March 2020.

While the overall level of CSEW violent crime showed no change compared with the previous year, there were increases in police recorded violence against the person, with offences 6% higher in the year ending March 2020 compared with the year ending March 2019. This included:

  • A 7% rise in homicide offences (to 695 offences); this figure includes the Grays lorry incident with 39 homicide victims, if this incident is excluded, homicide showed a 1% increase overall1.
  • A 6% rise in offences involving a knife or sharp instrument (to 50,019 offences); this is in contrast to a decrease in hospital admissions for assault by a sharp object (an 8% decrease to 4,674 admissions).

About this release

This publication reports on trends in violent crime across England and Wales for the year ending March 2020. This publication is largely unaffected by the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic as it mainly relates to the period prior to the lockdown. It is important to note that these are not the latest figures on trends in violent crime. Headline figures covering later periods have been published in the Crime in England and Wales quarterly statistical bulletin but this release provides more detail on the nature and circumstances of violent crime.

Notes for Main points

  1. Data presented from the Home Office Homicide Index refer to the position as at 15 December 2020, when the Homicide Index database was "frozen" for the purpose of analysis (Homicide in England and Wales).
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2. Extent of violent crime

The Crime Survey for England and Wales (CSEW) estimated that 1.6% of adults aged 16 years and over were a victim of violent crime in the year ending March 20201 2, (Appendix tables, year ending March 2020), equating to 1.2 million incidents of violence:

  • 0.9% were a victim of violence without injury

  • 0.4% were a victim of assault with minor injury

  • 0.4% were a victim of wounding

Just over half (52%) of all CSEW violent incidents in the last 12 months resulted in no injury to the victim. Of violent incidents involving injury, the majority of these were wounding, such as cuts or severe bruising. Overall, figures for the year ending March 2020 were similar to the previous year's survey; however, assault with minor injury decreased by 35% compared with the previous year (Appendix tables, year ending March 2020).

The police recorded 1.8 million violence against the person offences in the year ending March 20203 4, an increase of 6% from 1.7 million in the year ending March 2019 (Appendix tables, year ending September 2020). Of these:

  • "violence without injury" accounted for 41% (732,912 offences)

  • "violence with injury" accounted for 31% (540,502 offences)

  • "stalking and harassment" accounted for 28% (494,586)

  • "death or serious injury - unlawful driving" accounted for 0.05% (810 offences)

  • "homicide" accounted for 0.04% (721 offences)

This article does not cover homicide in detail. Instead, a separate Homicide in England and Wales: year ending March 2020 article, which presents data analysis from the Home Office Homicide Index, has been published alongside this release. The Homicide Index provides a greater level of detail about the nature of homicide offences and of victims and suspects than available in the main police recorded crime collection.

Violent crimes against children

The year ending March 2020 CSEW estimated that 2.6% of children aged 10 to 15 years (105,000) were a victim of violent crime5 in the previous 12 months, a decrease of 2.8 percentage points from the previous year. This continues the downward trend since the year ending March 20106. Children were more commonly victims of violence with injury than violence without injury, 2.2% compared with 0.4% (Appendix tables, year ending March 2020).

Notes for Extent of violent crime

  1. "All violence" includes violence with injury (wounding, assault with minor injury), and violence without injury. For more information see Chapter 5.1 of the User guide to Crime Statistics for England and Wales.

  2. Victims may report experiencing more than one incident of violence and, therefore, may report experiencing more than one type of violence.

  3. Recorded crime figures presented in this release are those notified to the Home Office and that were recorded in the Home Office database on 11 December 2020, covering the year ending March 2020 - see Appendix Table A4 for the full dataset.

  4. Police recorded crime data are not comparable with CSEW estimates as they cover a broader range of offences that the CSEW does not cover, such as stalking and harassment.

  5. These are based on a"preferred measure" that takes into account factors identified as important in determining the severity of an incident such as the relationship of the victim to the perpetrator and the level of injury to the victim. See Chapter 2 of the User guide for further information.

  6. Data first collected on crimes against children in the year ending March 2010.

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5. The relationship between victims and perpetrators

Crime Survey for England and Wales (CSEW) violence can be broken down by the relationship between the victim and the perpetrator, enabling the categorisation of stranger, acquaintance, or domestic violence. The definition of domestic violence in the CSEW refers to incidents reported through the face-to-face interview that were perpetrated by a partner or ex-partner, or a family member.

The level of domestic violence reported in this way is prone to significant under-reporting because many victims will not be willing to disclose such incidents in the context of a face-to-face personal interview. Of those aged 16 to 74 years who reported being victims of physical domestic abuse in the year ending March 2020 CSEW self-completion module1 on intimate violence, only 10.3% also reported being a victim of domestic violence in the face-to-face interview (Domestic abuse prevalence and trends, England and Wales: year ending March 2020). Therefore, the measures of domestic violence reported in this section are an under-estimation of the true extent of this type of violence and as a result, the proportions of violence perpetrated by strangers2 and acquaintances3 will be over-estimated. More information can be found in Chapter 2 of the User guide to crime statistics.

In the year ending March 2020 CSEW, the most common perpetrators of violent crime were acquaintances (43%, 528,000 offences), with 41% of offences (511,000) perpetrated by a stranger, and the remaining 16% (200,000 offences) categorised as domestic violence (Figure 6, Appendix tables, year ending March 2020). These figures have fluctuated over recent years, with acquaintance violence accounting for the largest proportion of offences in some years and stranger violence accounting for the largest proportion in others. The year ending March 2020 CSEW showed that:

  • incidents of stranger violence had fallen by 52% from the peak of 1.1 million offences in the year ending December 1995 to an estimated 511,000 offences

  • acquaintance violence fell by 75% from the peak of 2.1 million offences in the year ending December 1995 to an estimated 528,000 offences, being an important driver of changes in overall violence

  • there was no statistically significant change for domestic, stranger or acquaintance violence compared with the previous year

The Domestic abuse in England and Wales overview: November 2020 article provides further information on both physical and non-physical domestic abuse using the self-completion module4 of the CSEW in the year ending March 2020; 2.3 million adults aged 16 to 74 years experienced domestic abuse in the last year (1.6 million women and 757,000 men), a slight but non-significant decrease from the previous year.

Relationship between victims and suspects from the Home Office Data Hub

Analysis of the relationship between victims and suspects of violent offences recorded by the police5 shows that a greater proportion of violent offences against women were committed by an intimate partner6; for female victims, 49% of suspects were intimate partners, compared with 22% for male victims. The proportion of violent offences committed by a family relative was similar for both female (21%) and male (23%) victims. Acquaintance and stranger relationships between victims and suspects were more common for men, 34% and 21% respectively, compared with women, 22% and 8% respectively (Figure 7, Nature of violent crime appendix tables).

Perception of perpetrator from the Crime Survey for England and Wales (CSEW)

Victims of violent crime interviewed in the year ending March 2020 CSEW were able to provide some detail about the perpetrator(s) in 98% of incidents (Nature of crime, violence tables). The following profiles are based on the victims' recollection and perception of the perpetrator(s):

  • perpetrators were most likely to be male, being reported as so in over three-quarters of violent incidents (82%)

  • perpetrators were most likely to be 25 to 39 years old, being reported as so in 42% of violent incidents; compared with 16 to 24 years old and 40 years and over in 28% and 26% of incidents, respectively

  • in 73% of violent incidents a sole perpetrator was reported to have been responsible

  • 36% of incidents of stranger violence involved more than one perpetrator, compared with 27% of incidents of acquaintance violence and only 5% of domestic violence incidents

Notes for The relationship between victims and perpetrators

  1. "Self-completion" means that the respondent reads the questions themselves and records their answers directly onto a laptop.

  2. Stranger violence includes wounding and assaults in which the victim did not have any information about the perpetrator(s), or did not know and had never seen the perpetrator(s) before.

  3. Acquaintance violence is comprised of wounding and assaults in which the victim knew one or more of the perpetrators at least by sight. It does not include domestic violence.

  4. The self-completion module uses a broader definition of domestic abuse, including emotional or financial abuse and threats to hurt the respondent or someone close to them, rather than just physical violence.

  5. Based on 17 police forces where sufficient data were available on the Data Hub for the year ending March 2020.

  6. "Intimate partner" refers to all partner and ex-partner relationships, not just where the couple were married or in a civil partnership, but also including co-habiting partners and those considered in a relationship.

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6. Levels of repeat victimisation

Repeat victimisation is defined as the experience of being a victim of more than one crime of the same type within the last 12 months. In the year ending March 2020 survey, the Crime Survey for England and Wales (CSEW) showed that 77% of victims of violence were victimised once, while 23% were repeat victims in the previous 12 months (17% victimised two to four times, 6% victimised five times or more, Annual trend and demographic tables).

The level of repeat victimisation showed no significant change from the previous year's survey, but has significantly decreased by 17 percentage points since 1995 (39%, Annual trend and demographic tables).

In the year ending March 2020, 34% of victims of domestic violence1, 27% of victims of acquaintance violence and 14% of victims of stranger violence were repeat victims (Figure 8). However, these proportions can fluctuate from year to year (Annual trend and demographic tables).

The latest estimates showed that 52% of violent incidents were experienced by repeat victims compared with 74% in the year ending December 1995 (3.3 million incidents, when CSEW violence peaked, Annual trend and demographic tables).

There were 646,000 repeat incidents and 593,000 single incidents in the year ending March 2020. There has been a fall in the total number of violent incidents since the year ending March 2015, which was driven by a 41% fall in repeat incidents from 1.1 million incidents in the year ending March 2015 to 646,000 in the year ending March 2020 (Nature of violent crime appendix tables).

The most common type of violence to be experienced on a repeated basis is domestic violence, which is not well measured by the face-to-face interview of the CSEW. Therefore, the analysis can only be used to draw conclusions about the repeat victimisation of domestic violence captured by this source, which may only provide a partial picture.

Notes for Levels of repeat victimisation

  1. The main face-to-face interview under-estimates the number of domestic violence incidents.
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7. Groups of people most likely to be victims of violent crime

The year ending March 2020 Crime Survey for England and Wales (CSEW) showed that victimisation of violent crime varied by certain personal and household characteristics (see Nature of violent crime appendix tables for a full breakdown). Many of the characteristics are closely associated with each other, so caution is needed in the interpretation of these different characteristics when viewed in isolation.

While the CSEW provides good estimates of prevalence for most crime types, for domestic violence incidents the self-completion module of the survey is the preferred measure. See Domestic abuse in England and Wales overview: November 2020 for a breakdown of characteristics of victims of domestic abuse taken from the self-completion module of the CSEW in year ending March 2020.

Sex

Men were more likely to be victims of CSEW violent crime than women (2% of men compared with 1.3% of women1, Appendix Table 1). This was true for all types of violence, with the exception of domestic violence, where women were more likely to be victims (0.3% of women and 0.1% of men, Nature of violent crime appendix tables). The year ending March 2020 CSEW showed that:

  • stranger violence showed the largest difference in victimisation between men and women (1.2% compared with 0.4% respectively)

  • 0.7% of men and 0.5% of women experienced acquaintance violence

However, estimates of domestic abuse derived from the self-completion module of the CSEW for respondents aged 16 to 59 years show that women were more likely to be victims of this kind of violence than men, 8.1% and 4.0% respectively (Domestic abuse in England and Wales overview: November 2020).

The CSEW estimated that 60% of victims of violence were male, with 40% being female in the year ending March 2020 (data not shown). This is notably different from the Home Office Data Hub, which showed more violence against the person offences recorded by the police had female victims (56%) than male victims (44%). A likely reason for the difference between the sources is that females are more commonly the victims in cases of domestic abuse, which accounts for around one-third of violence recorded by the police. The Home Office Data Hub showed that in 70% of offences with a female victim the perpetrator was an intimate partner or other family relative. In comparison, the perpetrator was an intimate partner or other family relative in 45% of offences with a male victim (Nature of violent crime appendix tables).

While the CSEW provides good estimates of most crime types, the main face-to-face interview under-estimates the number of domestic violence incidents. (see the "How are victims and perpetrators related?" section of this article for more information).

The breakdown of male and female victims differed by the type of violence recorded by the police, with females accounting for a larger proportion of victims of violence without injury than males (60% compared with 40% respectively). However, males and females accounted for a similar proportion of victims of violence with injury, 51% and 49% respectively (Figure 9, Nature of violent crime appendix tables).

Figures from the Home Office Homicide Index for the year ending March 2020 show that 73% of homicide victims were male and 27% were female. More information on homicide offences can be found in Homicide in England and Wales: year ending March 2020.

Age

CSEW estimates indicate that adults aged 16 to 24 years were more likely to be victims of violence (3.6%) than those in older age groups (Nature of violent crime appendix tables). This was particularly pronounced in incidents resulting in violence without injury.

The CSEW patterns were replicated in data from the Home Office Data Hub on the age of victims of police recorded violence (taken from 24 forces). This showed that younger adults were also more likely to be victims of violent crimes recorded by the police in the year ending March 2020 (Figure 10, Nature of violent crime appendix tables). For example, while those aged 20 to 29 years made up around 13% of the population2, they were victims in 25% of violence against the person offences recorded by the police. Older people and the very young were less likely to be victims. For example, those aged 80 years or over were victims in 1% of violent offences but made up around 5% of the population. Those aged under 10 years accounted for 12% of the population but only 3% of victims.

Figure 10: Younger adults were more likely to be victims of violent crimes recorded by the police

England and Wales, year ending March 2020

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Notes

  1. Police recorded crime data are not designated as National Statistics.
  2. Police recorded crime data are based on 24 forces that provided data via the Home Office Data Hub or in manual return. Data have not been reconciled with forces.
  3. Population figures are based on the ONS population estimates for England and Wales.

Download the data

Other characteristics of victims of CSEW violence

  • Those who were single (3.0%), cohabiting (2.1%) or separated (3.7%) were more likely to be victims of violence compared with married adults (0.9%).

  • Single adults with children (3.4%) were more likely to be victims of violence than those living with other adults and children (1.7%) and adults living with no children (1.5%).

  • Renters (2% social and 2.5% private) were more likely to be victims of violent crime than home owners (1.2%).

  • People with disabilities (2.4%) were more likely to be victims of violent crime than people without disabilities (1.5%) (Nature of violent crime appendix tables).

For children aged 10 to 15 years, boys were more likely than girls to have experienced violent crime (3.6% compared with 1.4% respectively). See Annual trend and demographic tables for more information.

Notes for Groups of people most likely to be victims of violent crime

  1. This pattern is different for domestic abuse and sexual assault. For more information please see Domestic abuse in England and Wales overview: November 2020 and Sexual offending: victimisation and the path through the criminal justice system.

  2. Based on the Office for National Statistics (ONS) England and Wales population estimates.

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8. Reporting violent crime to the police

In the year ending March 2020, the Crime Survey for England and Wales (CSEW) estimated that 49% of violent incidents were reported to the police (Annual trend and demographic tables). This estimate showed no change from the previous year (44%); the 5 percentage points increase was not statistically significant. This latest reporting rate for violence was higher than the reporting rate for all CSEW crime, excluding fraud and computer misuse (39%).

The rates at which violent crimes were reported to the police also varied according to the victim to offender relationship. Over half of domestic violence incidents (58%) and stranger violence incidents (56%) were reported to police, both an increase from the previous year (40% and 46% respectively), while 40% of acquaintance violence incidents were reported to the police, a similar percentage to the previous year (45%).

As in previous years, reporting rates continue to vary by type of violence, with 68% of wounding incidents in the latest survey year being reported to the police, compared with 37% of violent incidents without injury. This indicates that, as might be expected, respondents are more likely to report more serious incidents to the police.

Combined data from the CSEW year ending March 2017 to the year ending March 2019 showed that 15% of violent incidents experienced by children aged 10 to 15 years came to the attention of the police (Nature of crime tables). This figure is likely to reflect the relative low severity of violent incidents experienced by children.

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9. Injuries resulting from violent crime

Victims sustained a physical injury in 48% of incidents of violence in the year ending March 2020 Crime Survey for England and Wales (CSEW; Nature of crime, violence tables). This varied by perpetrator, with 62% of incidents of domestic violence1 resulting in physical injury compared with 52% of stranger violence incidents and 38% of acquaintance violence incidents.

The most common type of injury experienced was minor bruising or black eye (27% of violent incidents). More serious injuries such as concussion or loss of consciousness (2%) or broken bones (2%) were less common. Victims received some form of medical attention in 15% of violent incidents (Nature of crime, violence tables).

Incidents of violent crime experienced by children were more likely to result in injury, with victims aged 10 to 15 years sustaining an injury in 85% of incidents in the combined three years between year ending March 2017 and year ending March 2019 CSEW. Victims received some form of medical attention as a result of the violence in 22% of incidents. Of those incidents where the victim aged 10 to 15 years sustained an injury, minor bruising or black eye was the most common injury (67%), followed by marks on skin (18%) and scratches (18%). In 6% of violent incidents where the victim aged 10 to 15 years sustained an injury, this was a serious injury2 (Nature of crime tables).

Notes for Injuries resulting from violent crime

  1. Figures relate to domestic violence estimates from face-to-face CSEW interviews.

  2. Serious injury includes facial or head injuries, broken nose, concussion, broken bones and eye or facial injuries caused by acid, paint, sand, and so on, thrown in the face.

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10. Glossary

Violence with injury

Includes all incidents of wounding and assault with injury; homicide is only included for police recorded crime. Police recorded crime also includes attempts at inflicting injury, although the Crime Survey for England and Wales (CSEW) would not include these if no actual injury occurred.

Wounding

The incident results in severe or less serious injury, for example, cuts, severe bruising, chipped teeth, bruising or scratches requiring medical attention or any more serious injuries.

Assault with minor injury

An incident where the victim was punched, kicked, pushed or jostled and the incident resulted in minor injury to the victim, for example, scratches or bruises.

Violence without injury

Includes all incidents of assault without injury (or attempt from the CSEW only) where the victim was punched, kicked, pushed or jostled but resulted in no injury. From July 2013, police recorded crime no longer includes under this sub-category possession of weapons offences and public order offences, such as public fear, alarm or distress. These offences are now included in new sub-categories within "other crimes against society", named "possession of weapons offences" and "public order offences".

Homicide

Includes the offences of murder, manslaughter, corporate manslaughter and infanticide.

Knife or sharp instrument offences

An offence is recorded by the police as involving a knife or sharp instrument when the weapon is present during the offence or the threat is believed to be real. The weapon does not necessarily have to be used. These data are based on a special collection that includes the offences: homicide; attempted murder; threats to kill; assault with injury and assault with intent to cause serious harm; robbery; rape; and sexual assault.

Offences involving a firearm

Includes those where a firearm is fired, used as a blunt instrument, or used as a threat. Firearms include shotguns; handguns; rifles; imitation weapons such as BB guns or soft air weapons; other weapons such as CS gas, pepper spray and stun guns; and unidentified weapons. They exclude conventional air weapons, such as air rifles.

More information and further definitions can be found in the "offence type" section of the User guide to crime statistics for England and Wales.

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11. Measuring the data

Crime Survey for England and Wales (CSEW)

The Crime Survey for England and Wales (CSEW) is a face-to-face victimisation survey, which asks people resident in households in England and Wales about their experiences of a selected range of offences in the 12 months prior to the interview. In addition, from April 2009, in households with children aged 10 to 15 years, a child is also selected at random to be interviewed using a separate shorter 10- to 15-year-olds' questionnaire.

Putting the safety of the public first, we have suspended all face-to-face interviewing on the CSEW to minimise social contact as a result of the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic.

Fieldwork for the year ending March 2020 was suspended two weeks early on 17 March 2020 just prior to the lockdown restrictions being announced by the government on 23 March 2020. Estimates for the year ending March 2020 presented in this release are therefore unaffected by the pandemic.

All differences reported in this article are statistically significant at the 5% level unless stated otherwise.

Police recorded crime

Police recorded crime figures are supplied to the Office for National Statistics (ONS) (via the Home Office) by the 43 territorial police forces of England and Wales, plus the British Transport Police. As with the CSEW, both actual and attempted assaults are included in the figures.

The coverage of police recorded violent crime is defined by the notifiable offence list. This includes a broad spectrum of offences, ranging from assault without injury and harassment, to offences such as homicide. There are some crimes that may involve some degree of violence but are not covered in this article, which focuses on victim-based offences. For example, public order offences recorded by the police may involve violence, but no specific victim is identified. See Appendix Table A4, year ending September 2020 for police recorded figures on public order offences.

For some types of crime, because of ongoing changes in police recording practices, an increase in the number of offences recorded by the police is unlikely to indicate a real rise in these types of crime. Police recorded crime data are not designated as National Statistics. Details of concerns over the quality of these data are in the UK Statistics Authority most recent assessment report.

More information on both these sources can be found in the User guide to crime statistics for England and Wales.

More quality and methodology information on strengths, limitations, appropriate uses, and how the data were created is available in the Crime in England and Wales QMI.

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12. Strengths and limitations

Crime Survey for England and Wales (CSEW)

The CSEW is a large nationally representative sample survey that has used a consistent methodology over time. The survey covers crimes not reported to the police and is not affected by changes in police recording practice; therefore, it is a reliable measure of long-term trends.

The CSEW does not cover crimes against businesses and those not resident in households (for example, residents of institutions and visitors). Headline estimates exclude offences that are difficult to estimate robustly (such as sexual offences) or that have no victim who can be interviewed (for example, homicides and drug offences). In addition, the survey is subject to error associated with sampling and respondents recalling past events. Potential time lag between occurrence of the crime and survey data collection means that the survey is not a good measure of emerging trends.

Police recorded crime

Police recorded crime has wider offence coverage and population coverage than the CSEW. It is the primary source of local crime statistics and is a good measure of offences that are well-reported to and well-recorded by the police, as well as lower volume crimes (for example, homicide). In addition, the time lag between occurrence of crime and reporting results tends to be short, providing an indication of emerging trends.

On the other hand, police recorded crime excludes offences that are not reported to, or not recorded by, the police and does not include less serious offences dealt with by magistrates' courts (for example, motoring offences). Trends can be influenced by changes in recording practices or police activity as well as public reporting of crime, making it difficult to make long-term comparisons. There are also concerns about the quality of recording and that crime is not recorded consistently across police forces.

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Contact details for this Article

Nick Stripe
crimestatistics@ons.gov.uk
Telephone: +44 (0)20 7592 8695