1. Geographical breakdown of the current account

The tables in this chapter show a geographical breakdown of the current account. The data cover 67 individual countries as well as international organisations. These estimates are generally less firmly based than the world totals, and data for earlier years are less reliable than recent figures. In some cases estimates are unavailable for the first few years.

Changes to the pattern of trading associated with missing trader intra-community (MTIC) fraud can make it difficult to analyse trade by country, as changes in the impact of activity associated with this fraud (which includes carousel fraud) affect both imports and exports. Originally, most carousel chains only involved European Union (EU) member states. From 2004 in particular, some carousel chains included non-EU countries, for example Switzerland. However, the MTIC trade adjustments are added to the EU import estimates as it is this part of the chain that is not generally recorded. For more information on carousel fraud, see the methodological notes relating to chapter 2.

In 2014 the current account deficit widened by £15.0 billion, from £77.9 billion in 2013 to £92.9 billion. This was due to the surplus with the Americas narrowing in 2014 to £28.4 billion from £39.2 billion in 2013. Additionally, the deficit with Europe widened from £101.6 billion in 2013 to £109.5 billion in 2014.

Credits decreased by £13.3 billion, from £692.1 billion in 2013 to £678.8 billion in 2014. This was mainly due to credits decreasing from the Americas and Africa by £8.4 billion and £3.2 billion respectively.

Debits increased by £1.7 billion, from £770.0 billion in 2013 to £771.7 billion in 2014. This was due to debits to Europe increasing by £8.4 billion, partially offset by debits to Africa and Australasia and Oceania decreasing by £5.1 billion and £1.9 billion respectively.

The deficit on the trade in goods balance widened by £8.4 billion, from £115.2 billion in 2013 to £123.7 billion in 2014. This was due to the deficit with Europe increasing by £10.9 billion, from £86.4 billion in 2013, to £97.3 billion in 2014. Additionally, the surplus with the Americas decreased by £7.4 billion, from £11.3 billion in 2013, to £3.9 billion in 2014. Partially offsetting these were decreases in the deficits with Asia and Africa of £6.8 billion and £3.0 billion, from £33.7 billion and £8.2 billion in 2013 to £26.9 billion and £5.1 billion in 2014 respectively.

Exports decreased by £10.8 billion, from £306.2 billion in 2013 to £295.4 billion in 2014. This was mainly due to exports decreasing to the Americas, Europe and Africa by £5.4 billion, £4.1 billion and £1.6 billion respectively. Partially offsetting these was an increase of £1.1 billion in the exports to Asia.

Imports decreased by £2.4 billion, from £421.5 billion in 2013 to £419.1 billion in 2014. This was due to imports decreasing to Asia and Africa by £5.8 billion and £4.7 billion respectively. Partially offsetting these was an increase of £6.8 billion and £2.0 billion in the imports to Europe and the Americas respectively.

The surplus on the trade in services balance widened by £8.1 billion, from £81.0 billion in 2013 to £89.1 billion in 2014. This was mainly due to the surplus with Europe increasing by £12.5 billion, from £22.6 billion in 2013 to £35.1 billion in 2014. Partially offsetting this was a decrease in the surplus with Americas of £3.4 billion, from £36.5 billion in 2013 to £33.1 billion in 2014.

Exports increased by £4.9 billion, from £214.8 billion in 2013 to £219.8 billion in 2014. This was mainly due to exports increasing to Europe by £11.3 billion. Partially offsetting this were decreases of £3.7 billion and £1.7 billion with exports to the Americas and Australasia and Oceania.

Imports decreased by £3.2 billion, from £133.8 billion in 2013 to £130.6 billion in 2014. This was due to imports decreasing by £1.2 billion from both Europe and Asia.

The deficit on the primary income balance widened by £16.3 billion, from £16.8 billion in 2013 to £33.1 billion in 2014. This was due to the deficit with Europe increasing by £11.4 billion, from £24.3 billion to £35.7 billion and the surplus with Asia narrowing by £4.5 billion, from £9.6 billion in 2013 to £5.0 billion in 2014.

Credits decreased by £7.6 billion, from £152.1 billion in 2013 to £144.5 billion in 2014. This was mainly due to credits decreasing from Europe by £7.3 billion, from £69.1 billion in 2013 to £61.9 billion in 2014.

Debits increased by £8.7 billion, from £168.9 billion in 2013 to £177.6 billion in 2014. This was due to debits to Asia and Europe increasing by £5.1 billion and £4.2 billion respectively. Slightly offsetting these, debits to Australasia and Oceania decreased by £1.0 billion, from £2.2 billion in 2013 to £1.3 billion in 2014.

The deficit on the secondary income balance narrowed by £1.6 billion, from £26.8 billion in 2013 to £25.2 billion in 2014. This was due to the deficit with Europe decreasing by £1.9 billion, from £13.6 billion to £11.6 billion in 2014.

Credits increased by £0.2 billion, from £19.0 billion in 2013 to £19.2 billion in 2014. This was due to credits increasing from Europe by £0.5 billion, from £8.5 billion in 2013 to £9.0 billion in 2014. This was offset by credits from the Americas decreasing by £0.3 billion, from £6.5 billion in 2013 to £6.2 billion in 2014.

Debits decreased by £1.4 billion, from £45.8 billion in 2013 to £44.4 billion in 2014. This was due to debits to Europe decreasing by £1.4 billion, from £22.1 billion in 2013 to £20.7 billion in 2014.

The current account deficit with the EU28 widened by £17.9 billion, from £89.1 billion in 2013 to £107.0 billion in 2014. This was due to the deficits with France, Germany and Belgium widening in 2014, and the surplus with Luxembourg switching to a deficit in 2014.

Credits decreased by £8.1 billion, from £297.1 billion in 2013 to £289.0 billion in 2014. This was due to a decrease in credits from:

  • France by £4.1 billion

  • the Netherlands by £3.5 billion

  • Germany by £2.1 billion

  • Luxembourg by £1.4 billion

Partially offsetting these were an increase in credits from:

  • Italy by £2.0 billion

Debits increased by £9.7 billion, from £386.3 billion in 2013 to £396.0 billion in 2014. This was due to debits increasing to:

  • Spain by £4.0 billion

  • Germany by £3.4 billion

  • Luxembourg by £2.8 billion

  • Italy by £1.7 billion

Partially offsetting these, debits decreased to:

  • the Netherlands by £4.1 billion

  • Denmark by £1.0 billion

The trade in goods deficit with the EU28 widened by £11.7 billion, from £67.1 billion in 2013 to £78.9 billion in 2014. This was due to widening deficits with most countries, most notably with Spain (by £3.1 billion), France (by £2.8 billion), Belgium (by £2.7 billion) and Germany (by £2.6 billion). These compare with a slight narrowing to the deficit with Denmark of £1.3 billion in 2014.

Exports decreased by £6.5 billion, from £154.1 billion in 2013 to £147.6 billion in 2014. This was mainly due to exports decreasing to:

  • the Netherlands by £2.9 billion

  • France by £2.2 billion

  • Belgium by £1.5 billion

Imports increased by £5.2 billion, from £221.2 billion in 2013 to £226.5 billion in 2014. This was due to imports increasing from:

  • Spain by £3.4 billion

  • Germany by £3.2 billion

  • Italy by £1.5 billion

  • Belgium by £1.2 billion

Partially offsetting these were decreases in imports from:

  • the Netherlands by £3.5 billion

  • Denmark by £1.3 billion

The trade in services surplus with the EU28 widened by £5.5 billion, from £11.6 billion in 2013 to £17.1 billion in 2014. This was mainly due to the surpluses with the Netherlands, Ireland and Italy increasing by £3.0 billion, £0.8 billion and £0.8 billion in 2014 respectively.

Exports increased by £4.5 billion, from £76.8 billion in 2013 to £81.3 billion in 2014. This was mainly due to exports increasing to:

  • Italy by £1.3 billion

  • the Netherlands by £0.8 billion

  • Ireland by £0.8 billion

  • Spain by £0.7 billion

Imports decreased by £1.1 billion, from £65.2 billion in 2013 to £64.2 billion in 2014. This was mainly due to imports from the Netherlands decreasing by £2.1 billion, from £6.5 billion in 2013 to £4.3 billion in 2014. Partially offsetting this was an increase of £0.6 billion in the imports from Italy.

The deficit on the primary income balance with the EU28 widened by £13.6 billion, from £20.6 billion in 2013 to £34.2 billion in 2014. This was mainly due to the deficit increasing with Luxembourg (by £3.9 billion), Ireland (by £3.0 billion), France (by £2.7 billion) and Germany (by £2.3 billion). Additionally, the Netherlands switched from a surplus of £0.7 billion in 2013 to a deficit of £2.2 billion in 2014.

Credits decreased by £6.6 billion, from £58.6 billion in 2013 to £51.9 billion in 2014. This was due to credits decreasing from:

  • Germany by £2.0 billion

  • France by £2.0 billion

  • the Netherlands by £1.4 billion

  • Luxembourg by £1.3 billion

Debits increased by £7.0 billion, from £79.2 billion in 2013 to £86.2 billion in 2014. This was due to debits increasing to:

  • Luxembourg by £2.6 billion

  • Ireland by £2.1 billion

  • the Netherlands by £1.6 billion

  • France by £0.7 billion

The deficit on the secondary income balance with the EU28 narrowed by £2.0 billion, from £13.0 billion in 2013 to £11.0 billion in 2014. This was due to the deficit with EU institutions decreasing by £2.1 billion, from £12.0 billion in 2013 to £9.8 billion in 2014.

Credits increased by £0.5 billion, from £7.6 billion in 2013 to £8.2 billion in 2014. This was due to credits from EU institutions increasing by £0.7 billion, from £3.9 billion in 2013 to £4.6 billion in 2014. Partially offsetting this were small decreases in credits from most countries.

Debits decreased by £1.5 billion, from £20.7 billion in 2013 to £19.2 billion in 2014. This was due to debits to EU institutions decreasing by £1.4 billion, from £15.9 billion in 2013 to £14.5 billion in 2014.

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Craig Taylor
bop@ons.gov.uk
Telephone: +44 (0)1633 456333