Economic activity and social change in the UK, real-time indicators: 2 September 2021

Early experimental data and analysis on economic activity and social change in the UK. These faster indicators are created using rapid response surveys, novel data sources, and experimental methods.

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2 September 2021

This week’s release (2 September 2021) is reduced to main points and data only because of the Summer Bank Holiday. The full release will resume as normal from next week (9 September 2021).

The Opinions and Lifestyle Survey (OPN) has moved to a fortnightly collection so does not feature in this week’s release. It will feature in next week’s release and fortnightly thereafter.

Data for Energy Performance Certificate (EPC) lodgements for the latest week were unavailable at the time of this publication.

Contact:
Email Andrew Walton

Release date:
2 September 2021

Next release:
9 September 2021

1. Main points

  • In the week ending 29 August 2021, the seven-day average number of UK daily flights was 3,405, a 5% increase from the previous week (3,256); this is the highest seven-day average number of UK daily flights since Saturday 21 March 2020 and is around half (51%) of the level seen in the equivalent week in 2019 (EUROCONTROL). See the accompanying dataset.

  • In the week to 30 August 2021, the seven-day average estimate of UK seated diners increased by 22 percentage points from the previous week to 156% of the level in the equivalent week of 2019; this is the highest week-on-week increase since the week ending 31 May 2021, which was also a Bank Holiday (OpenTable). 

  • On 27 August 2021, the total volume of online job adverts fell by 3% from the previous week to 125% of its February 2020 average level; this was driven by a week-on-week decline in job adverts in all UK countries and English regions (Adzuna). See the accompanying dataset.

  • In the week to 26 August 2021, the aggregate CHAPS-based indicator of credit and debit card purchases was broadly stable at 1 percentage point below the previous week, and was at 93% of its February 2020 average; all spending categories remained broadly stable during the same period (Bank of England CHAPS data). See the accompanying dataset.

  • In late August 2021, a net 22% of businesses reported a decrease in turnover, compared with normal expectations for this time of year, broadly unchanged from the previous wave (initial results from Wave 38 of the Business Insights and Conditions Survey (BICS)). See Section 3.

  • In the week to 28 August 2021, overall retail footfall in the UK increased by 5%, and was at 84% of the level seen in the equivalent week of 2019 (Springboard).

  • There was an average of 296 daily ship visits in the week to 29 August 2021, broadly similar to the 298 visits in the previous week, while the average number of daily cargo ship visits were also stable at 90 visits (exactEarth). See the accompanying dataset.

  • On Monday 30 August 2021, the volume of all motor vehicle traffic was 84% of the volume seen on the first Monday of February 2020, a decrease of 15 percentage points from the previous week; Monday 30 August 2021 was the Summer Bank Holiday and a decrease in the volume of road traffic on this day is consistent with previous bank holidays (Department for Transport).

  • In the week ending 29 August 2021, the seasonally adjusted average count of traffic camera activity for cars in London increased by 3% from the previous week to 116% of its pre-pandemic level (Transport for London). See the accompanying dataset.

  • There were 13,796 company incorporations in the week to 27 August 2021; this was an increase of 13% from the previous week and is 29% higher than the equivalent week of 2019 (10,701) (Companies House). See the accompanying dataset.

  • There were 5,814 voluntary dissolution applications in the week to 27 August 2021, an increase of 20% from the previous week and 40% higher than the equivalent week of 2019 (4,152); the large difference compared with the equivalent 2019 figure is in part attributed to reduced processing activity as the week in 2019 fell on a bank holiday (Companies House). See the accompanying dataset.

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Results presented in this bulletin are experimental and may be subject to revision.

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2. Latest indicators at a glance

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Notes:

  1. Data for one CHAPS sub-sector with 15% weight in the “social” spending category has been imputed for the period of 12 to 26 August 2021 because of data availability issues.
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3. Business impacts and insights

As previously announced, as part of our regular and ongoing quality assessment of our methods, we have recently improved methods to the weighting of smaller businesses within the Business Insights and Conditions Survey (BICS) sample where we use employment and turnover to do so (first published 26 August 2021).

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4. Data

UK spending on credit and debit cards
Dataset | Released 2 September 2021
Experimental indicator for monitoring UK retail purchases derived from the Bank of England's CHAPS data.

Shipping indicators
Dataset | Released 2 September 2021
Experimental weekly and daily ship visits dataset covering UK ports.

Traffic camera activity
Dataset | Released 2 September 2021
Experimental daily traffic camera counts data for busyness indices covering the UK.

Online job advert estimates
Dataset | Released 2 September 2021
Experimental job advert indices covering the UK online job market.

Company incorporations and voluntary dissolutions
Dataset | Released 2 September 2021
The number of weekly Companies House Incorporations and Voluntary Dissolution applications accepted.

Daily UK flights
Dataset | Released 2 September 2021
Experimental daily UK flight numbers and rolling seven-day average, including flights to, from, and within the UK.

Online weekly price changes
Dataset | Released 1 July 2021
Experimental estimates of online price changes for a selection of food and drink products from several large UK retailers.

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5. Measuring the data

UK coronavirus restrictions

A full overview of coronavirus (COVID-19) restrictions for each of the four UK constituent countries can be found here:

These restrictions should be considered when interpreting the data featured throughout this bulletin.

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Contact details for this Statistical bulletin

Andrew Walton
faster.indicators@ons.gov.uk
Telephone: +44 1633 456408