Subnational population projections use past trends to project forward the population to give an indication of the future population for 25 years from the base year. Available for local authorities and clinical commissioning groups.
Publications
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Subnational population projections for England: 2014-based
Indication of the future size and age structure of the population in the regions, local authorities, clinical commissioning groups and NHS regions of England.
Data
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Subnational population projections – cross-border migration: SNPP Z6
Population figures over a 25-year period for cross-border migration, by single year of age and sex for local authorities in England. 2018-based estimates are the latest principal projection.
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Population projections – local authorities: SNPP Z1
Population figures over a 25-year period, by single year of age and sex for local authorities in England. 2018-based estimates are the latest principal projection.
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Subnational population projections – deaths: SNPP Z4
Population figures over a 25-year period for deaths by single year of age and sex for local authorities in England. 2018-based estimates are the latest principal projection.
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Population projections – births by age of mother: SNPP Z3
Population figures over a 25-year period on births by age of mother for local authorities in England. 2018-based estimates are the latest principal projection.
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Population projections incorporating births, deaths and migration for regions and local authorities: Table 5
Population figures over a 25-year period, including births, deaths and migration by sex for regions and local authorities in England. 2018-based estimates are the latest principal projection.
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Population projections by single year of age – clinical commissioning groups: SNPP Z2
Population figures over a 25-year period, by single year of age and sex for clinical commissioning groups in England. 2018-based estimates are the latest principal projection.
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Population projections for local authorities: Table 2
Population figures over a 25-year period, by five-year age groups and sex for local authorities in England. 2018-based estimates are the latest principal projection.
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Population projections for clinical commissioning groups and NHS regions: Table 3
Population figures over a 25-year period, by five-year age groups and sex for clinical commissioning groups in England. 2018-based estimates are the latest principal projection.
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Population projections for regions: Table 1
Population figures over a 25-year period, by five-year age groups and sex for regions in England. 2018-based estimates are the latest principal projection.
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Subnational population projections – international migration: SNPP Z7
Population figures over a 25-year period for international migration, by single year of age and sex for local authorities in England. 2018-based estimates are the latest principal projection.
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Subnational population projections – internal migration: SNPP Z5
Population figures over a 25-year period for internal migration, by single year of age and sex for local authorities in England. 2018-based estimates are the latest principal projection.
Methodology
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Methodology used to produce the 2014-based subnational population projections for England
This report documents the methodology and data used in producing the 2014-based subnational population projections for England published on 25 May 2016 and lists the changes from previous projections. It also discusses the impact that the methodology or data used may have had on assumptions made and the resulting projections.
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The United Kingdom Statistics Authority has designated these statistics as National Statistics, in accordance with the Statistics and Registration Service Act 2007 and signifying compliance with the Code of Practice for Official Statistics.
Designation can be broadly interpreted to mean that the statistics:
- meet identified user needs
- are well explained and readily accessible
- are produced according to sound methods
- are managed impartially and objectively in the public interest
Once statistics have been designated as National Statistics it is a statutory requirement that the Code of Practice shall continue to be observed.