National population projections: 2022-based

Provisional release date: October to November 2024
Important information:

This release is not yet published


National population projections (NPPs) provide an indication of the potential future population size of the UK and its constituent countries. A full NPP release using the latest available population data including census data and new assumptions for fertility, mortality, and migration. Providing a range of variant projections. The base population is planned to be mid-2022. NPPs are widely used in planning, for example, fiscal projections, health, education, and pensions.

Contact details


James Robards



About the data

National Statistics

These statistics have been given National Statistics status by the Office for Statistics Regulation. They have been produced by following the standards set out in the Code of Practice for Statistics. They meet the highest standards of trustworthiness, quality and public value.

This means that they:

  • meet identified user needs
  • are well explained and easily accessible
  • are produced based on appropriate data and methods
  • are managed impartially and objectively in the public interest