Release

National population projections: 2022-based

Release date: 28 January 2025 9:30am

Summary

National population projections (NPPs) provide an indication of the potential future population size of the UK and its constituent countries. A full NPP release using the latest available population data including census data and new assumptions for fertility, mortality, and migration. Providing a range of variant projections. The base population is planned to be mid-2022. NPPs are widely used in planning, for example, fiscal projections, health, education, and pensions.

Publications

  • National population projections: 2022-based

    The potential future population size of the UK and its constituent countries. These statistics are widely used in planning, including fiscal projections, health, education and pensions.

  • UK population projection explorer

    Use our projection tool to find out how changes in life expectancy, net migration, and fertility could affect the population over a long period.

Data

Methodology

Contact details

Name

Population and Household Projections

Email

pop.info@ons.gov.uk

Phone

+44 (0) 1329 44 4661

About the data

Accredited Official Statistics

These are accredited official statistics. They have been independently reviewed by the Office for Statistics Regulation (OSR) and found to comply with the standards of trustworthiness, quality and value in the Code of Practice for Statistics. This broadly means that the statistics:

  • meet user needs
  • are presented clearly and accessibly
  • are produced using appropriate data and sound methods
  • are managed impartially and objectively in the public interest