This bulletin presents the number of deaths registered in England and Wales in 2011 by age, sex and selected underlying cause of death. In addition, the ten leading causes of death have been ranked to provide a summary for both males and females. This bulletin provides more detailed statistics than the Death registration summary tables, England and Wales released in October 2012.
Mortality rates for 2011 have been calculated using mid-2011 population estimates based on the 2011 Census. Mortality rates for 2002-2010 have been calculated using mid-year estimates based on the 2001 Census. Population estimates for mid-2002 to mid-2010 will be revised to take account of the 2011 Census to ensure a consistent time series over the decade.
These revised population estimates for England and Wales are due to be published in December 2012/January 2013 while subnational estimates are due to be published in March/April 2013. Any comparisons of rates between 2002–2010 and 2011 should be treated with caution due to these planned revisions. To enable comparisons over time, mortality rates in 2011 have been compared to those in 2001 since rates for 2001 will not be revised.
There were 484,367 deaths registered in England and Wales in 2011 compared with 493,242 in 2010, a fall of 1.8 per cent. The total number of deaths in 2011 comprised 234,660 male and 249,707 female deaths representing a fall of 1.4 per cent for males and 2.2 per cent for females compared with 2010. This is the third consecutive year that annual death registrations have been below half a million.
The age-standardised mortality rates (ASMR) in 2011 were the lowest since records began in England and Wales with 6,236 deaths per million population for males and 4,458 deaths per million for females. These age-standardised rates are for all causes and cover all ages (see Background note 5). Between 2001 and 2011, the age-standardised rate for males fell by 24 per cent (from 8,230 deaths per million), while for females it decreased by 20 per cent (from 5,566 deaths per million).
Over the course of the 20th century, ASMRs steadily decreased (figure 1). Up until the early 1970s, year-on-year fluctuations were higher, a likely consequence of influenza epidemics and cold winters although the relationship between temperature, influenza and winter mortality is complex (for further information see Excess winter mortality in England and Wales, 2010/11 provisional and 2009/10 final).
Mortality rates are generally falling; reasons for this include medical advances in the treatment of many illnesses and diseases. This is illustrated by the reduction in ASMRs for many causes of death ( see table 9 (1.12 Mb Excel sheet) ).
In January 2011, the software used for cause of death coding was updated from the International Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision (ICD-10) v2001.2 to v2010. The main changes in ICD-10 v2010 are amendments to the modification tables and selection rules, which are used to ascertain a causal sequence and consistently assign underlying cause of death from the conditions recorded on the death certificate.
Overall, the impact of these changes is small although some cause groups are affected more than others. For further information, see the results of the bridge coding study on the ONS website. There is also another study looking at the impact on stillbirths and neonatal deaths.
Cancers (neoplasms), circulatory diseases and respiratory diseases were the broad disease groups (chapters) of the ICD-10 with the largest numbers of deaths in 2011. Cancers accounted for 30 per cent of all deaths, while circulatory diseases (which include deaths from ischaemic heart disease and strokes) and respiratory diseases (including deaths from pneumonia) accounted for 29 per cent and 14 per cent of all deaths respectively.
Over the course of the 20th century, there have been fairly steady decreases in mortality rates for these three broad disease groups in England and Wales. The reasons for this include improvements in the treatment of these illnesses.
Government backed initiatives to improve people’s health through better diet and lifestyle, for example, the Department of Health’s White Paper entitled 'Choosing Health: making healthy choices easier' published in 2004 could also have contributed to improvements in mortality rates.
Throughout the period 2001 to 2011, circulatory diseases (which include heart disease and strokes) have seen the largest fall in age-standardised rates for males and females (44 per cent). The fall in age-standardised mortality rates for cancer has been more gradual, with death rates 14 per cent lower for males and 10 per cent lower for females in 2011 than in 2001 (figures 2 and 3). In 2011 deaths from cancer have the highest age-standardised mortality rates for both males and females whereas in 2001 the highest rates were for circulatory diseases.
In ‘Improving Outcomes: A Strategy for Cancer’ (2011) the Department of Health states that although improvements have been made in the quality of cancer services in England, a significant gap remains in mortality rates compared with the European average.
The Outcomes Strategy sets out how the Department of Health aims to improve outcomes for all cancer patients and improve cancer survival rates, with the aim of saving an additional 5,000 lives every year by 2014/15. The Welsh Government’s Together for Health, Cancer Delivery Plan for the NHS up to 2016 sets out the vision for the population of Wales and what this means for NHS cancer services.
The male mortality rate for respiratory diseases decreased by 18 per cent between 2001 and 2011, while the rate for females fell by 12 per cent. Respiratory disease mortality rates in a given year are strongly influenced by the seasonal pattern of mortality in that year.
The two tables below show the ten leading underlying causes of death in 2011 for males and females. These are ranked according to a World Health Organisation (WHO) list which categorises causes using ICD–10 groups specifically designed for determining the leading causes of death. The list has been modified for use in England and Wales ( Griffiths et al., 2005 (145.6 Kb Pdf) ). The leading causes of mortality are ranked according to the number of deaths registered for each group in 2011.
|Rank||Underlying cause of death||Number of deaths||Percentage of all male deaths||Age-standardised mortality rate per million population|
|1||Ischaemic heart diseases (I20-I25)||37,723||16.1||992|
|2||Malignant neoplasm of trachea, bronchus and lung (C33, C34)||16,881||7.2||457|
|3||Cerebrovascular diseases (I60-I69)||14,335||6.1||357|
|4||Chronic lower respiratory diseases (J40-J47)||13,539||5.8||340|
|5||Dementia and Alzheimer's disease (F01, F03, G30)||11,995||5.1||279|
|6||Influenza and Pneumonia (J09-J18)||11,072||4.7||273|
|7||Malignant neoplasm of prostate (C61)||9,671||4.1||238|
|8||Malignant neoplasm of colon, sigmoid, rectum and anus (C18-C21)||7,758||3.2||203|
|9||Malignant neoplasms of lymphoid, haematopoietic and related tissue (C81-C96)||6,066||2.6||163|
|10||Diseases of the liver (K70-K77)||4,787||2.0||157|
|All male deaths||234,660|
The leading cause of death for both sexes was ischaemic heart diseases, which accounted for 16.1 per cent of male deaths and 10.7 per cent of female deaths during 2011. The second leading cause of death was malignant neoplasm of trachea, bronchus and lung (lung cancer) for males and dementia and Alzheimer’s disease for females, replacing cerebrovascular diseases as the second leading cause of death for both males and females, compared with 2010.
If causes were ranked by their age-standardised mortality rates instead of number of deaths, the rankings for females would change. For example, influenza and pneumonia among females is ranked fourth on number of deaths but would be ranked seventh on mortality rates. This is because the age standardisation process gives less weight to deaths at older ages (where most of the influenza and pneumonia deaths occur).
For both sexes, lung cancer (malignant neoplasm of trachea, bronchus and lung) was the most common cancer, appearing second in the leading cause of death list for males and fifth for females. The lists also contain three other cancers for both males and females, including ones which are sex-specific (prostate cancer and female breast cancer).
|Rank||Underlying cause of death||Number of deaths||Percentage of all female deaths||Age-standardised mortality rate per million population|
|1||Ischaemic heart diseases (I20-I25)||26,712||10.7||434|
|2||Dementia and Alzheimer's disease (F01, F03, G30)||25,767||10.3||338|
|3||Cerebrovascular diseases (I60-I69)||21,642||8.7||331|
|4||Influenza and Pneumonia (J09-J18)||15,079||6.0||217|
|5||Malignant neoplasm of trachea, bronchus and lung (C33, C34)||13,267||5.3||298|
|6||Chronic lower respiratory diseases (J40-J47)||13,209||5.3||241|
|7||Malignant neoplasms of female breast (C50)||10,328||4.1||244|
|8||Malignant neoplasm of colon, sigmoid, rectum and anus (C18-C21)||6,428||2.6||127|
|9||Diseases of the urinary system (N00-N39)||5,429||2.2||80|
|10||Malignant neoplasms of lymphoid, haematopoietic and related tissue (C81-C96)||4,993||2.0||104|
|All female deaths||249,707|
In 2001 deaths from ischaemic heart disease accounted for 23.1 per cent of all male deaths, this fell by 7 percentage points by 2011 when it accounted for 16.1 per cent of all male deaths. In contrast the percentage of deaths from dementia and Alzheimer’s disease rose by 6 percentage points in the same period.
In 2011, for females the percentage of deaths from ischaemic heart disease fell by 6.3 percentage points compared with 2001. In contrast the percentage of deaths from dementia and Alzheimer’s disease rose by 5.9 percentage points in the same period for females.
This change may partially be due to the update from ICD-10 version 2001.2 to ICD-10 version 2010 in 2011. The results of the bridge coding study showed that within the dementia cause group there is a large change for vascular dementia (F01), which is a result of a correction implemented in ICD-10 v2010. In ICD-10 v2001.2, vascular dementia deaths were coded as cerebrovascular disease (I60–I69), in particular I67.9 (cerebrovascular disease, unspecified).
Also, in ICD-10 v2001.2 a number of dementia deaths were coded as N39.0 (urinary tract infection, site not specified). This change is due to an addition to the modification tables of valid causal sequences.
The information used to produce mortality statistics is based on the details collected when deaths are certified and registered. In England and Wales, deaths should be registered within five days of the death taking place but there are some situations which result in the registration of the death being delayed. Deaths considered unexpected, accidental or suspicious will be referred to a coroner who may order a post mortem and/or carry out a full inquest to ascertain the reasons for the death.
The death cannot be registered until the inquest is completed, which can take many months or even years, and ONS is not notified that a death has occurred until it is registered. If someone is to be charged in relation to the death, the coroner must adjourn the inquest, and they may carry out an accelerated registration. However, the full details are not recorded until the inquest is completed. These accelerated registrations are assigned a U50.9 code, and are included in the DR Series Table 5 (2.85 Mb Excel sheet) .
Mortality statistics are presented based on the number of deaths registered in a particular period, rather than the number of deaths that actually occurred in that period. This approach is used as a trade off between timeliness and data quality to meet user needs.
In 2011 there were 484,367 deaths registered in England and Wales. Of these deaths, 463,450 occurred in 2011, representing 95.7 per cent of the deaths registered. The proportion of deaths registered in 2011 that also occurred in 2011 varies depending upon the underlying cause of death classified using the ICD-10. More information on registration delays is available on the ONS website.
The Office for National Statistics uses death data to:
Produce population estimates and population projections at both national and subnational level.
Quality assure Census estimates.
Report on social and demographic trends.
Carry out further analysis, for example life expectancies and causes of death (including deaths from injury and poisoning, certain infections and drug related deaths).
Further analyse infant mortality where infant deaths are linked to their corresponding birth record to enable more detailed analyses on characteristics such as age of parents, birthweight and whether the child was born as part of a multiple birth.
The Department of Health (DH) is a key user of mortality statistics. The Public Health Outcomes Framework sets out the desired outcomes for public health and how these will be measured. Data are used, for example, to inform policy decisions and to reduce premature mortality from the major causes of death under an NHS Outcomes Framework.
The outcomes framework has replaced the Public Service Agreement system that was in place under the previous government. Infant mortality is also seen as a key measure among health outcomes and there is a long established link between social and health inequalities, and infant mortality.
Infant mortality continues to take a central role in DH’s work on health inequalities. Other key users of mortality data are local authorities and other government departments for planning and resource allocation. The Department for Work and Pensions uses detailed mortality statistics to feed into statistical models they use for pensions and benefits.
Users also include other public sector organisations such as the Police and the Home Office who are interested in data on external causes of death. Private sector organisations such as banks, insurance and investment companies are particularly interested in deaths by single year of age and region which feeds into risk estimation, while funeral directors are interested in the number of deaths occurring at the local area level.
Other users include academics, demographers and health researchers who conduct research into trends. Lobby groups and charities use death statistics to support their cause, for example, campaigns against alcohol and drug misuse or suicide. Organisations such as Eurostat and the UN use death statistics for making international comparisons. The media also report on key trends in mortality.
This bulletin accompanies tables published in the annual publication, Mortality statistics, Deaths registered in England and Wales - 2011 (Series DR). Quality and Methodology Information documents for mortality statistics are available on the ONS website. Further information on data quality, legislation and procedures relating to deaths is available on the ONS website in mortality metadata.
An interactive mapping tool which enables trends in mortality to be analysed at the local level is available on the Neighbourhood Statistics Website. The tool is based on age-standardised mortality rates (ASMRs) by local authority district for 2001–2010. The tool will be updated in Summer 2013 to include revised rates for 2002-2010 and rates for 2011.
To meet user needs, very timely but provisional counts of death registrations are published as follows: Provisional counts of weekly death registrations by age-sex group and region and provisional counts of monthly death registrations by local authority. Users should note that figures for 2012 have not been subject to the full quality assurance process so figures are considered provisional.
Crude death rates for selected international countries are available in the Vital Statistics: Population and Health Reference tables (see annual time series data reference table).
Information illustrating the processes in certification and registration (1.12 Mb Excel sheet) for deaths registered in 2011 is published on the ONS website.
The 21st Century Mortality Files are a record of mortality in England and Wales from 2001 onwards. They are designed to complement the 20th Century Mortality Files. The files consist of an aggregated database of deaths by age-group, sex, year and underlying cause, and include populations for England and Wales.
Future changes to mortality outputs are outlined in the plan for mortality outputs (88.2 Kb Pdf) available on the ONS website.
Department of Health (2004), Choosing Health: Making healthy choices easier
Department of Health (2010), NHS outcomes framework 2012/13
Department of Health (2011), Improving outcomes: a strategy for cancer
Griffiths C, Rooney C and Brock A (2005) ‘Leading causes of death in England and Wales – how should we group causes?’ (145.6 Kb Pdf) , Health Statistics Quarterly 28, 6–17
Welsh Government (2006) Together for Health, Cancer Delivery Plan for the NHS up to 2016
World Health Organisation (WHO) (1992–94) International Statistical Classification of Diseases and Related Health Problems, volumes 1, 2 and 3 (Tenth Revision). WHO: Geneva
Registrations and occurrences: the year in which a death is registered may not correspond to the year in which the death occurred. Up to 1992, Office for National Statistics (ONS) publications gave numbers of deaths registered in the data year. Between 1993 and 2005 the majority of ONS’s published figures represented the number of deaths that occurred in the data year. For 2006 onwards, ONS changed the reporting of death figures back to deaths registered in a reference year. In most years (and for most causes of death), this change has little effect on annual totals but allows the output of more timely mortality data. For an annual extract of death occurrences to be acceptably complete, it must be taken some months after the end of the data year to allow for any late registrations.
Death figures reported here are based on deaths registered in the data year. For 2011 this includes some deaths that occurred in previous years (20,917 deaths). ONS also takes an annual extract of death occurrences in the autumn following the data year (to allow for late registrations). This is used for seasonal analysis of mortality data and several infant mortality outputs. The difference between death registrations and death occurrences in a year is relatively small. For example, the number of death registrations in 2010 involving deaths occurring in 2010 was 473,661 while the number of 2010 death occurrences was 491,449 (a difference of 4 per cent).
Coding underlying cause of death: the cause of death data are based on the final underlying cause of death, which takes account of any additional information provided by medical practitioners or coroners after the death has been registered. The original underlying cause of death only changes in a very small number of deaths (around 0.2 per cent) in a given year.
Following guidance from the World Health Organisation (WHO), the ICD-10 code J09 ‘Influenza due to identified avian influenza virus’ has been used to record H1N1 swine influenza. For ease of use J09 has been renamed to ‘Influenza due to identified avian or swine influenza virus’ in the tables. The number of deaths shown under J09 differs from figures reported by the Health Protection Agency.
The age-standardised mortality rates in this release cover all ages. Age-specific rates for 2011 are calculated using the mid-2011 population estimates based on the 2011 Census, and are then directly age-standardised to the European Standard Population, which allows comparisons between populations with different age structures, including between males and females and over time.
The population estimates used to calculate rates refer to the usually resident population of an area on 30 June of each year. The usually resident population is defined by the standard United Nations definition for population estimates, and includes people who reside in the area for a period of at least 12 months whatever their nationality. ONS mid-year population estimates are based on updates from the most recent census, allowing for births, deaths, net migration and ageing of the population. The population estimates used for the calculation of mortality rates are the latest consistent estimates available at the time of production. Further information on population estimates methodology (179.5 Kb Pdf) can be found on the ONS website.
There is a large degree of comparability in mortality statistics between countries within the UK. However, there are some differences although these are believed to have a negligible impact on the comparability of the statistics. These differences are outlined in the Quality and Methodology Information document for mortality statistics.
Vital Statistics Output Branch
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Next publication date: October/November 2013.
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|Elizabeth McLaren||+44 (0)1329 444110||Vital Statistics Outputs Branchemail@example.com|