"Figure 5: Age-standardised quarterly rolling annual mortality rates and fitted segmented model, by sex for those aged 75 years and over, England, 1990 to 2017","" "","" "","" "Notes","1. Age-standardised mortality rates per 100,000 population, standardised to the 2013 European Standard Population. 2. Figures exclude non-residents, based on boundaries as of February 2018. 3. Q1 refers to annual period ending Quarter 1 (April to March), Q2 refers to annual period ending Quarter 2 (July to June), Q3 refers to annual period ending Quarter 3 (October to September), Q4 refers to annual period ending Quarter 4 (January to December). 4. Segmented model is the segmented linear regression model produced by our program to best fit the data. 5. Pre-breakpoint trend projected is the trend fitted to the data up until the breakpoint projected forward to the end of the observed data time series. " "Unit","Age-standardised mortality rate, per 100,000" "","" "Period Ending","Females - Observed rate","Females - Segmented model","Females - Pre-breakpoint trend projected","Males - Observed rate","Males - Segmented model","Males - Pre-breakpoint trend projected" "Q4 1990","8702.7","8793.1","8793.1","12759.8","13185.4","13185.4" "Q1 1991","8792.7","8779.3","8779.3","12874.6","13130.7","13130.7" "Q2 1991","8820.1","8765.5","8765.5","12852.3","13076.0","13076.0" "Q3 1991","8811.6","8751.7","8751.7","12819.3","13021.2","13021.2" "Q4 1991","8852.0","8737.9","8737.9","12862.4","12966.5","12966.5" "Q1 1992","8776.1","8724.1","8724.1","12768.0","12911.8","12911.8" "Q2 1992","8665.4","8710.3","8710.3","12604.6","12857.1","12857.1" "Q3 1992","8639.4","8696.5","8696.5","12561.4","12802.3","12802.3" "Q4 1992","8529.4","8682.7","8682.7","12394.0","12747.6","12747.6" "Q1 1993","8429.6","8668.9","8668.9","12256.4","12692.9","12692.9" "Q2 1993","8504.4","8655.1","8655.1","12355.5","12638.1","12638.1" "Q3 1993","8540.7","8641.3","8641.3","12406.2","12583.4","12583.4" "Q4 1993","8920.8","8627.5","8627.5","12866.3","12528.7","12528.7" "Q1 1994","8903.0","8613.7","8613.7","12837.4","12474.0","12474.0" "Q2 1994","8822.4","8599.9","8599.9","12762.1","12419.2","12419.2" "Q3 1994","8778.0","8586.1","8586.1","12614.0","12364.5","12364.5" "Q4 1994","8323.6","8572.3","8572.3","11973.4","12309.8","12309.8" "Q1 1995","8319.7","8558.5","8558.5","11989.8","12255.1","12255.1" "Q2 1995","8349.6","8544.7","8544.7","11950.6","12200.3","12200.3" "Q3 1995","8332.8","8530.9","8530.9","11927.1","12145.6","12145.6" "Q4 1995","8518.7","8517.1","8517.1","12189.9","12090.9","12090.9" "Q1 1996","8667.8","8503.3","8503.3","12304.9","12036.1","12036.1" "Q2 1996","8602.3","8489.5","8489.5","12203.5","11981.4","11981.4" "Q3 1996","8589.7","8475.7","8475.7","12182.9","11926.7","11926.7" "Q4 1996","8510.1","8461.9","8461.9","11999.7","11872.0","11872.0" "Q1 1997","8587.5","8448.0","8448.0","12010.3","11817.2","11817.2" "Q2 1997","8597.7","8434.2","8434.2","12001.7","11762.5","11762.5" "Q3 1997","8562.9","8420.4","8420.4","11915.9","11707.8","11707.8" "Q4 1997","8457.1","8406.6","8406.6","11780.0","11653.0","11653.0" "Q1 1998","8148.3","8392.8","8392.8","11366.2","11598.3","11598.3" "Q2 1998","8183.1","8379.0","8379.0","11403.1","11543.6","11543.6" "Q3 1998","8217.3","8365.2","8365.2","11433.8","11488.9","11488.9" "Q4 1998","8378.5","8351.4","8351.4","11588.8","11434.1","11434.1" "Q1 1999","8711.6","8337.6","8337.6","11961.7","11379.4","11379.4" "Q2 1999","8573.7","8310.7","8323.8","11714.5","11324.7","11324.7" "Q3 1999","8501.3","8282.4","8310.0","11580.9","11270.0","11270.0" "Q4 1999","8415.5","8254.2","8296.2","11452.0","11215.2","11215.2" "Q1 2000","8371.4","8226.0","8282.4","11430.8","11160.5","11160.5" "Q2 2000","8331.1","8197.8","8268.6","11428.3","11105.8","11105.8" "Q3 2000","8248.0","8169.5","8254.8","11306.6","11051.0","11051.0" "Q4 2000","8050.8","8141.3","8241.0","11001.6","10996.3","10996.3" "Q1 2001","7792.2","8113.1","8227.2","10639.8","10941.6","10941.6" "Q2 2001","7863.8","8084.8","8213.4","10683.7","10886.9","10886.9" "Q3 2001","7905.9","8056.6","8199.6","10726.4","10832.1","10832.1" "Q4 2001","7943.8","8028.4","8185.8","10769.0","10777.4","10777.4" "Q1 2002","7915.7","8000.2","8172.0","10733.7","10722.7","10722.7" "Q2 2002","7900.9","7971.9","8158.2","10706.3","10667.9","10667.9" "Q3 2002","7961.8","7943.7","8144.4","10715.8","10613.2","10613.2" "Q4 2002","8046.0","7915.5","8130.6","10771.4","10558.5","10558.5" "Q1 2003","8020.3","7887.3","8116.8","10706.3","10503.8","10503.8" "Q2 2003","8061.0","7859.0","8103.0","10677.0","10449.0","10449.0" "Q3 2003","8098.7","7830.8","8089.2","10648.2","10394.3","10394.3" "Q4 2003","8190.2","7802.6","8075.4","10693.0","10339.6","10339.6" "Q1 2004","8145.8","7774.3","8061.6","10634.3","10284.9","10284.9" "Q2 2004","8021.0","7746.1","8047.8","10449.8","10230.1","10230.1" "Q3 2004","7880.3","7717.9","8034.0","10319.2","10175.4","10175.4" "Q4 2004","7621.4","7689.7","8020.2","10034.5","10120.7","10120.7" "Q1 2005","7701.9","7661.4","8006.4","10057.1","10065.9","10065.9" "Q2 2005","7737.4","7633.2","7992.6","10093.1","10011.2","10011.2" "Q3 2005","7662.5","7605.0","7978.8","9950.1","9956.5","9956.5" "Q4 2005","7576.3","7576.8","7965.0","9849.7","9901.8","9901.8" "Q1 2006","7449.5","7548.5","7951.2","9732.0","9847.0","9847.0" "Q2 2006","7398.0","7520.3","7937.4","9654.3","9792.3","9792.3" "Q3 2006","7353.6","7492.1","7923.6","9636.7","9737.6","9737.6" "Q4 2006","7272.4","7463.8","7909.8","9544.1","9682.9","9682.9" "Q1 2007","7237.4","7435.6","7896.0","9463.5","9628.1","9628.1" "Q2 2007","7166.8","7407.4","7882.2","9363.3","9573.4","9573.4" "Q3 2007","7166.7","7379.2","7868.4","9327.3","9518.7","9518.7" "Q4 2007","7294.9","7350.9","7854.6","9427.3","9463.9","9463.9" "Q1 2008","7238.2","7322.7","7840.7","9357.9","9409.2","9409.2" "Q2 2008","7285.5","7294.5","7826.9","9394.7","9354.5","9354.5" "Q3 2008","7263.5","7266.3","7813.1","9336.3","9299.8","9299.8" "Q4 2008","7351.7","7238.0","7799.3","9374.4","9245.0","9245.0" "Q1 2009","7362.1","7209.8","7785.5","9408.0","9190.3","9190.3" "Q2 2009","7188.0","7181.6","7771.7","9223.9","9135.6","9135.6" "Q3 2009","7080.1","7153.3","7757.9","9120.2","9080.8","9080.8" "Q4 2009","6831.7","7125.1","7744.1","8877.1","9026.1","9026.1" "Q1 2010","6726.7","7096.9","7730.3","8713.1","8971.4","8971.4" "Q2 2010","6721.4","7068.7","7716.5","8686.7","8916.7","8916.7" "Q3 2010","6729.0","7040.4","7702.7","8645.0","8861.9","8861.9" "Q4 2010","6764.5","7012.2","7688.9","8670.3","8807.2","8807.2" "Q1 2011","6690.0","6984.0","7675.1","8588.4","8752.5","8752.5" "Q2 2011","6650.3","6955.8","7661.3","8544.3","8697.8","8697.8" "Q3 2011","6615.2","6927.5","7647.5","8530.7","8643.0","8643.0" "Q4 2011","6483.0","6899.3","7633.7","8345.3","8588.3","8588.3" "Q1 2012","6518.1","6871.1","7619.9","8400.4","8533.6","8533.6" "Q2 2012","6599.6","6842.8","7606.1","8442.4","8483.7","8478.8" "Q3 2012","6611.6","6814.6","7592.3","8397.5","8475.8","8424.1" "Q4 2012","6683.9","6786.4","7578.5","8513.5","8468.0","8369.4" "Q1 2013","6777.2","6758.2","7564.7","8579.7","8460.1","8314.7" "Q2 2013","6828.8","6729.9","7550.9","8656.9","8452.3","8259.9" "Q3 2014","6760.3","6701.7","7537.1","8582.7","8444.4","8205.2" "Q4 2013","6656.9","6673.5","7523.3","8476.7","8436.6","8150.5" "Q1 2014","6397.5","6645.3","7509.5","8229.7","8428.7","8095.7" "Q2 2014","6202.4","6617.0","7495.7","8041.3","8420.9","8041.0" "Q3 2014","6273.0","6588.8","7481.9","8101.7","8413.0","7986.3" "Q4 2014","6392.9","6560.6","7468.1","8196.2","8405.2","7931.6" "Q1 2015","6822.7","6532.4","7454.3","8612.2","8397.3","7876.8" "Q2 2015","6949.4","6504.1","7440.5","8683.0","8389.5","7822.1" "Q3 2015","6913.8","6475.9","7426.7","8665.1","8381.6","7767.4" "Q4 2015","6818.9","6447.7","7412.9","8557.6","8373.7","7712.7" "Q1 2016","6493.5","6419.4","7399.1","8252.1","8365.9","7657.9" "Q2 2016","6486.8","6391.2","7385.3","8274.9","8358.0","7603.2" "Q3 2016","6488.8","6363.0","7371.5","8244.4","8350.2","7548.5" "Q4 2016","6522.9","6334.8","7357.7","8271.1","8342.3","7493.7" "Q1 2017","6733.4","6306.5","7343.9","8455.2","8334.5","7439.0" "Q2 2017","6646.7","6278.3","7330.1","8333.4","8326.6","7384.3" "Q3 2017","6610.0","6250.1","7316.3","8296.4","8318.8","7329.6" "Q4 2017","6597.2","6221.9","7302.5","8275.1","8310.9","7274.8"