"Figure 3: Age-standardised quarterly rolling annual mortality rates and fitted segmented model, by sex for all ages, England, 1990 to 2017","" "","" "","" "Notes","1. Age-standardised mortality rates per 100,000 population, standardised to the 2013 European Standard Population. 2. Figures exclude non-residents, based on boundaries as of February 2018. 3. Q1 refers to annual period ending Quarter 1 (April to March), Q2 refers to annual period ending Quarter 2 (July to June), Q3 refers to annual period ending Quarter 3 (October to September), Q4 refers to annual period ending Quarter 4 (January to December). 4. Segmented model is the segmented linear regression model produced by our program to best fit the data. 5. Pre-breakpoint trend projected is the trend fitted to the data up until the breakpoint projected forward to the end of the observed data time series. " "Unit","Age-standardised mortality rate, per 100,000" "","" "Period Ending","Females - Observed rate","Females - Segmented model","Females - Pre-breakpoint trend projected","Males - Observed rate","Males - Segmented model","Males - Pre-breakpoint trend projected" "Q4 1990","1191.4","1227.2","1227.2","1858.0","1895.8","1895.8" "Q1 1991","1197.1","1222.9","1222.9","1862.6","1886.9","1886.9" "Q2 1991","1198.9","1218.6","1218.6","1858.1","1878.0","1878.0" "Q3 1991","1196.4","1214.3","1214.3","1851.3","1869.1","1869.1" "Q4 1991","1197.7","1210.0","1210.0","1850.6","1860.2","1860.2" "Q1 1992","1189.0","1205.7","1205.7","1837.7","1851.3","1851.3" "Q2 1992","1174.7","1201.4","1201.4","1815.4","1842.4","1842.4" "Q3 1992","1170.4","1197.1","1197.1","1807.5","1833.5","1833.5" "Q4 1992","1156.7","1192.8","1192.8","1785.4","1824.6","1824.6" "Q1 1993","1143.7","1188.5","1188.5","1766.3","1815.7","1815.7" "Q2 1993","1150.2","1184.2","1184.2","1774.1","1806.8","1806.8" "Q3 1993","1152.4","1179.9","1179.9","1777.1","1797.9","1797.9" "Q4 1993","1195.2","1175.6","1175.6","1828.5","1789.0","1789.0" "Q1 1994","1192.7","1171.3","1171.3","1820.1","1780.0","1780.0" "Q2 1994","1182.3","1167.0","1167.0","1807.9","1771.1","1771.1" "Q3 1994","1179.7","1162.7","1162.7","1793.2","1762.2","1762.2" "Q4 1994","1127.7","1158.4","1158.4","1719.4","1753.3","1753.3" "Q1 1995","1127.7","1154.2","1154.2","1724.2","1744.4","1744.4" "Q2 1995","1131.3","1149.9","1149.9","1720.0","1735.5","1735.5" "Q3 1995","1126.5","1145.6","1145.6","1711.2","1726.6","1726.6" "Q4 1995","1146.1","1141.3","1141.3","1736.8","1717.7","1717.7" "Q1 1996","1159.8","1137.0","1137.0","1744.2","1708.8","1708.8" "Q2 1996","1150.4","1132.7","1132.7","1730.0","1699.9","1699.9" "Q3 1996","1148.4","1128.4","1128.4","1727.4","1691.0","1691.0" "Q4 1996","1136.7","1124.1","1124.1","1703.2","1682.1","1682.1" "Q1 1997","1141.3","1119.8","1119.8","1693.2","1673.2","1673.2" "Q2 1997","1142.8","1115.5","1115.5","1690.8","1664.3","1664.3" "Q3 1997","1137.4","1111.2","1111.2","1678.4","1655.4","1655.4" "Q4 1997","1124.3","1106.9","1106.9","1659.5","1646.5","1646.5" "Q1 1998","1090.4","1102.6","1102.6","1618.1","1637.6","1637.6" "Q2 1998","1091.5","1098.3","1098.3","1616.2","1628.7","1628.7" "Q3 1998","1092.4","1094.0","1094.0","1615.6","1619.8","1619.8" "Q4 1998","1108.5","1089.7","1089.7","1629.5","1610.9","1610.9" "Q1 1999","1141.7","1085.4","1085.4","1665.0","1602.0","1602.0" "Q2 1999","1124.0","1081.1","1081.1","1634.0","1593.1","1593.1" "Q3 1999","1115.0","1076.8","1076.8","1616.3","1584.2","1584.2" "Q4 1999","1103.6","1072.5","1072.5","1599.4","1575.3","1575.3" "Q1 2000","1098.1","1068.2","1068.2","1596.7","1566.3","1566.3" "Q2 2000","1093.1","1063.9","1063.9","1593.5","1557.4","1557.4" "Q3 2000","1083.1","1059.6","1059.6","1575.8","1548.5","1548.5" "Q4 2000","1058.1","1055.3","1055.3","1536.5","1539.6","1539.6" "Q1 2001","1027.3","1051.0","1051.0","1489.5","1530.7","1530.7" "Q2 2001","1033.4","1046.7","1046.7","1489.4","1521.8","1521.8" "Q3 2001","1034.9","1042.4","1042.4","1492.2","1512.9","1512.9" "Q4 2001","1037.9","1038.1","1038.1","1493.0","1504.0","1504.0" "Q1 2002","1030.3","1033.8","1033.8","1482.6","1495.1","1495.1" "Q2 2002","1027.8","1029.5","1029.5","1478.9","1486.2","1486.2" "Q3 2002","1034.3","1025.2","1025.2","1478.4","1477.3","1477.3" "Q4 2002","1039.3","1020.9","1020.9","1482.3","1468.4","1468.4" "Q1 2003","1035.3","1016.6","1016.6","1472.0","1459.5","1459.5" "Q2 2003","1036.7","1012.3","1012.3","1464.6","1450.6","1450.6" "Q3 2003","1037.7","1008.0","1008.0","1458.6","1441.7","1441.7" "Q4 2003","1048.6","1003.7","1003.7","1462.6","1432.8","1432.8" "Q1 2004","1044.0","999.4","999.4","1454.4","1423.9","1423.9" "Q2 2004","1028.4","995.1","995.1","1432.9","1415.0","1415.0" "Q3 2004","1013.1","990.8","990.8","1415.3","1406.1","1406.1" "Q4 2004","983.2","986.5","986.5","1379.0","1397.2","1397.2" "Q1 2005","989.3","982.2","982.2","1378.4","1388.3","1388.3" "Q2 2005","993.1","977.9","977.9","1380.2","1379.4","1379.4" "Q3 2005","984.0","973.6","973.6","1363.5","1370.5","1370.5" "Q4 2005","972.2","969.3","969.3","1348.9","1361.6","1361.6" "Q1 2006","959.0","965.0","965.0","1335.2","1352.6","1352.6" "Q2 2006","952.4","960.7","960.7","1325.3","1343.7","1343.7" "Q3 2006","946.4","956.4","956.4","1320.0","1334.8","1334.8" "Q4 2006","936.9","952.1","952.1","1307.0","1325.9","1325.9" "Q1 2007","932.1","947.8","947.8","1294.8","1317.0","1317.0" "Q2 2007","923.2","943.5","943.5","1280.0","1308.1","1308.1" "Q3 2007","919.8","939.2","939.2","1272.4","1299.2","1299.2" "Q4 2007","932.3","934.9","934.9","1281.4","1290.3","1290.3" "Q1 2008","923.8","930.6","930.6","1271.9","1281.4","1281.4" "Q2 2008","927.1","926.3","926.3","1273.5","1272.5","1272.5" "Q3 2008","925.6","922.0","922.0","1267.0","1263.6","1263.6" "Q4 2008","934.4","917.7","917.7","1269.2","1254.7","1254.7" "Q1 2009","934.0","913.4","913.4","1269.0","1245.8","1245.8" "Q2 2009","914.3","909.1","909.1","1246.8","1236.9","1236.9" "Q3 2009","901.2","904.8","904.8","1233.4","1228.0","1228.0" "Q4 2009","875.1","900.5","900.5","1208.1","1219.1","1219.1" "Q1 2010","863.5","896.2","896.2","1189.5","1210.2","1210.2" "Q2 2010","862.9","891.9","891.9","1185.7","1201.3","1201.3" "Q3 2010","863.3","887.6","887.6","1180.7","1192.4","1192.4" "Q4 2010","865.1","883.3","883.3","1180.8","1183.5","1183.5" "Q1 2011","858.7","879.0","879.0","1173.4","1174.6","1174.6" "Q2 2011","853.8","874.7","874.7","1166.8","1165.7","1165.7" "Q3 2011","849.2","870.4","870.4","1161.6","1156.8","1156.8" "Q4 2011","832.4","866.1","866.1","1136.5","1147.9","1147.9" "Q1 2012","832.6","861.8","861.8","1134.9","1139.8","1138.9" "Q2 2012","840.5","857.5","857.5","1136.2","1138.5","1130.0" "Q3 2012","839.8","853.2","853.2","1130.4","1137.2","1121.1" "Q4 2012","847.1","848.9","848.9","1140.4","1135.9","1112.2" "Q1 2013","854.7","844.6","844.6","1146.6","1134.6","1103.3" "Q2 2013","858.9","840.3","840.3","1155.4","1133.3","1094.4" "Q3 2014","852.1","836.0","836.0","1146.7","1132.0","1085.5" "Q4 2013","840.8","831.7","831.7","1135.5","1130.7","1076.6" "Q1 2014","816.1","827.4","827.4","1110.7","1129.4","1067.7" "Q2 2014","795.7","827.1","823.1","1089.2","1128.1","1058.8" "Q3 2014","802.1","827.9","818.8","1096.0","1126.8","1049.9" "Q4 2014","814.1","828.8","814.5","1104.0","1125.5","1041.0" "Q1 2015","856.4","829.7","810.2","1144.5","1124.2","1032.1" "Q2 2015","868.0","830.5","805.9","1151.2","1122.9","1023.2" "Q3 2015","864.0","831.4","801.6","1147.6","1121.6","1014.3" "Q4 2015","853.5","832.3","797.3","1137.2","1120.3","1005.4" "Q1 2016","823.0","833.1","793.0","1108.6","1119.0","996.5" "Q2 2016","825.1","834.0","788.7","1112.0","1117.7","987.6" "Q3 2016","825.0","834.9","784.4","1108.9","1116.4","978.7" "Q4 2016","828.9","835.7","780.1","1109.0","1115.1","969.8" "Q1 2017","847.4","836.6","775.8","1126.3","1113.8","960.9" "Q2 2017","835.4","837.5","771.5","1112.2","1112.5","952.0" "Q3 2017","830.5","838.3","767.2","1107.5","1111.2","943.1" "Q4 2017","827.8","839.2","762.9","1105.2","1109.9","934.2"