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Title Release date Type
An Executive Summary, 2012-based NPP Reference Volume
Results of the latest 2012-based national population projections published on 6 November 2013 and 10 December 2013.
Coverage: UK
Geographic breakdown: Country
28 Mar 14 Report
Chapter 1: Background and Methodology, 2012-based NPP Reference Volume
The results of the 2012-based national population projections published in November and December 2013. It provides details about the results, and comparisons with the previous 2010-based national projections. It also gives details on the methodology used to produce the projections and information about the fertility, mortality and migration assumptions used, and includes some analysis of past trends.
Coverage: UK
Geographic breakdown: Country
28 Mar 14 Report
Chapter 2: Results, 2012-based NPP Reference Volume
The results of the 2012-based national population projections published in November and December 2013. It provides details about the results, and comparisons with the previous 2010-based national projections. It also gives details on the methodology used to produce the projections and information about the fertility, mortality and migration assumptions used, and includes some analysis of past trends.
Coverage: UK
Geographic breakdown: Country
28 Mar 14 Report
Chapter 3: Fertility, 2012-based NPP Reference Volume
The results of the 2012-based national population projections published in November and December 2013. It provides details about the results, and comparisons with the previous 2010-based national projections. It also gives details on the methodology used to produce the projections and information about the fertility, mortality and migration assumptions used, and includes some analysis of past trends.
Coverage: UK
Geographic breakdown: Country
28 Mar 14 Report
Chapter 4: Mortality, 2012-based NPP Reference Volume
The results of the 2012-based national population projections published in November and December 2013. It provides details about the results, and comparisons with the previous 2010-based national projections. It also gives details on the methodology used to produce the projections and information about the fertility, mortality and migration assumptions used, and includes some analysis of past trends.
Coverage: UK
Geographic breakdown: Country
28 Mar 14 Report
Chapter 5: Migration, 2012-based NPP Reference Volume
The results of the 2012-based national population projections published in November and December 2013. It provides details about the results, and comparisons with the previous 2010-based national projections. It also gives details on the methodology used to produce the projections and information about the fertility, mortality and migration assumptions used, and includes some analysis of past trends.
Coverage: UK
Geographic breakdown: Country
28 Mar 14 Report
Chapter 6: Variants, 2012-based NPP Reference Volume
The results of the 2012-based national population projections published in November and December 2013. It provides details about the results, and comparisons with the previous 2010-based national projections. It also gives details on the methodology used to produce the projections and information about the fertility, mortality and migration assumptions used, and includes some analysis of past trends.
Coverage: UK
Geographic breakdown: Country
28 Mar 14 Report
National Population Projections, 2012-based Extra Variants Report
The national population projections are published in two parts. The principal and nine variant projections were published by ONS on 6 November 2013 for the current set of 2012-based projections. This report published a month later in Decemmber, provides details on the seven additional 'combination' variant projections and special case scenarios.
Coverage: UK
Geographic breakdown: Country
10 Dec 13 Report
1. Background and Methodology, 2012-based National Population Projections
This report contains background information for the 2012-based national population projections. It includes sections on defining the base population, the method of projection, the projection period, background on principal and variant projections, the relationship of UK level projections to individual country level projections and changes to the state pension age. It also includes information relating to the national population projections expert advisory panel and, finally, a summary of the long-term assumptions of future levels of fertility, mortality and migration.
Coverage: UK
Geographic breakdown: Country
06 Nov 13 Report
Frequently Asked Questions, 2012-based National Population Projections
This report answers some of the questions users most frequently ask on national population projections in general as well as more specifically the 2012-based release.
Coverage: UK
Geographic breakdown: Country
06 Nov 13 Report
National Population Projections, 2012-based Statistical Bulletin
This statistical bulletin presents the key findings from the 2012-based national population projections.
Coverage: UK
Geographic breakdown: Country
06 Nov 13 Statistical bulletin
3. Fertility Assumptions, 2012-based National Population Projections
The 2012-based national population projections are based on the estimated population at the middle of 2012 and a set of demographic assumptions about future fertility, mortality and migration based on analysis of trends and expert advice. This report provides detailed information on the principle and variant fertility assumptions used in the 2012-based national population projections. For England, and for Wales, the long-term average completed family size is assumed to be 1.90 children per woman. A higher level of 2.00 is assumed for Northern Ireland and a lower level of 1.75 is assumed for Scotland. These assumptions represent an increase compared with the 2010-based projections for Northern Ireland, Scotland, England and Wales.
Coverage: UK
Geographic breakdown: Country
06 Nov 13 Report
2. Summary Results, 2012-based National Population Projections
This report provides a brief summary of the results of the 2012-based national population projections and provides additional charts and summary tables illustrating the results of the projections.
Coverage: UK
Geographic breakdown: Country
06 Nov 13 Report
5. Migration Assumptions, 2012-based National Population Projections
The 2012-based national population projections are based on the estimated population at the middle of 2012 and a set of demographic assumptions about future fertility, mortality and migration based on analysis of trends and expert advice. This report provides detailed information on the principle and variant migration assumptions used in the 2012-based national population projections. The new long-term assumption for net migration to the UK is +165,000 each year, compared with +200,000 per year in the 2010-based projections.
Coverage: UK
Geographic breakdown: Country
06 Nov 13 Report
4. Mortality Assumptions, 2012-based National Population Projections
The 2012-based national population projections are based on the estimated population at the middle of 2012 and a set of demographic assumptions about future fertility, mortality and migration based on analysis of trends and expert advice. This report provides detailed information on the principle and variant mortality assumptions used in the 2012-based national population projections. The long term mortality assumption for the UK projects life expectancy at birth to be 84 years for men and 87.3 years for women in 2037.
Coverage: UK
Geographic breakdown: Country
06 Nov 13 Report
An Executive Summary, 2010-based NPP Reference Volume
The 2010-based national population projections published in October and November 2011. Includes results, and comparisons with the previous 2008-based national projections. It also gives details on the methodology used to produce the projections and information about the fertility, mortality and migration assumptions used, and includes some analysis of past trends.
Coverage: UK
Geographic breakdown: Country
29 Mar 12 Report
Chapter 1: Background and Methodology, 2010-based NPP Reference Volume
Results of the 2010-based national population projections published in October and November 2011. Details about the results, and comparisons with the previous 2008-based national projections. It also gives details on the methodology used to produce the projections and information about the fertility, mortality and migration assumptions used, and includes some analysis of past trends.
Coverage: UK
Geographic breakdown: Country
29 Mar 12 Report
Chapter 2: Results, 2010-based NPP Reference Volume
Results of the 2010-based national population projections published in October and November 2011. Details about the results, and comparisons with the previous 2008-based national projections. It also gives details on the methodology used to produce the projections and information about the fertility, mortality and migration assumptions used, and includes some analysis of past trends.
Coverage: UK
Geographic breakdown: Country
29 Mar 12 Report
Chapter 3: Fertility, 2010-based NPP Reference Volume
Results of the 2010-based national population projections published in October and November 2011. Details about the results, and comparisons with the previous 2008-based national projections. It also gives details on the methodology used to produce the projections and information about the fertility, mortality and migration assumptions used, and includes some analysis of past trends.
Coverage: UK
Geographic breakdown: Country
29 Mar 12 Report
Chapter 4: Mortality, 2010-based NPP Reference Volume
Results of the 2010-based national population projections published in October and November 2011. Provides details about the results, and comparisons with the previous 2008-based national projections. It also gives details on the methodology used to produce the projections and information about the fertility, mortality and migration assumptions used, and includes some analysis of past trends.
Coverage: UK
Geographic breakdown: Country
29 Mar 12 Report
Chapter 6: Variants, 2010-based NPP Reference Volume
Results of the 2010-based national population projections published in October and November 2011. Details about the results, and comparisons with the previous 2008-based national projections. It also gives details on the methodology used to produce the projections and information about the fertility, mortality and migration assumptions used, and includes some analysis of past trends.
Coverage: UK
Geographic breakdown: Country
29 Mar 12 Report
Chapter 5: Migration, 2010-based NPP Reference Volume
Results of the 2010-based national population projections published in October and November 2011. Details about the results, and comparisons with the previous 2008-based national projections. It also gives details on the methodology used to produce the projections and information about the fertility, mortality and migration assumptions used, and includes some analysis of past trends.
Coverage: UK
Geographic breakdown: Country
29 Mar 12 Report
Extra variants: 2010-based national population projections
The national population projections are published in two parts. The principal and nine variant projections were published by ONS on 26 October 2010 for the current set of 2010-based projections. This report published a month later in November, provides details on the 11 additional 'combination' variant projections and special case scenarios.
Coverage: UK
Geographic breakdown: Country
23 Nov 11 Report
5. Migration Assumptions, 2010-Based National Population Projections
These are the 2010 based National population projections, migration assumptions, published on 26th October 2011
Coverage: UK
Geographic breakdown: Country
26 Oct 11 Report
4. Mortality Assumptions, 2010-Based National Population Projections
Details about the mortality assumptions used in the 2010-based national population projections
Coverage: UK
Geographic breakdown: Country
26 Oct 11 Report
2. Results, 2010-Based National Population Projections
This report provides further charts and summary tables on the results of the 2010 based National population projections
Coverage: UK
Geographic breakdown: Country
26 Oct 11 Report
Frequently Asked Questions, 2010-Based National Population Projections
frequently asked questions
Coverage: UK
Geographic breakdown: Country
26 Oct 11 Report
Pre-release Access List: National Population Projections, 2010-Based Projections (Pdf 30Kb)
Pre release access
Coverage: UK
Geographic breakdown: Country
26 Oct 11 Report
1. Background and Methodology, 2010-Based National Population Projections
This details the background information about the national population projections. Including methodology and a summary of long-term assumptions made for the 2010-based projections.
Coverage: UK
Geographic breakdown: Country
26 Oct 11 Report
3. Fertility Assumptions, 2010-Based National Population Projections
Details about the fertility assumptions used in the 2010-based national population projections
Coverage: UK
Geographic breakdown: Country
26 Oct 11 Report
National Population Projections, 2010-Based Statistical Bulletin
This statistical bulletin presents the key findings from the 2010-based national population projections
Coverage: UK
Geographic breakdown: Country
26 Oct 11 Statistical bulletin
Information note: Release of additional variant projections, 5 October 2010, 2008-based (Pdf 145Kb)
National Population Projections 2008-based projections. Information note on publication of additional variant projections, 5 October 2010
Coverage: Northern Ireland
Geographic breakdown: Region
05 Oct 10 Report
Frequently Asked Questions: National Population Projections 2008-based (Pdf 77Kb)
Frequently asked questions about the 2008-based National Population Projections
Coverage: UK
Geographic breakdown: Country
05 Oct 10 Report
National Population Projections - Figure 9.5 Actual and projected number of deaths, 1961–2083 (Pdf 89Kb)
2008-based reference volume: Series PP2
Coverage: UK
Geographic breakdown: Country
25 Mar 10 Book
National Population Projections - Figure 9.8 Actual and projected total population, 1981–2083 (Pdf 95Kb)
2008-based reference volume: Series PP2
Coverage: UK
Geographic breakdown: UK and GB
25 Mar 10 Book
National Population Projections - Figure 3.6 Actual and projected population aged 16, 1971–2033 (Pdf 84Kb)
2008-based reference volume: Series PP2
Coverage: UK
Geographic breakdown: UK and GB
25 Mar 10 Book
National Population Projections - Figure 3.3 Actual and projected age distribution, 1971–2083 (Pdf 92Kb)
2008-based reference volume: Series PP2
Coverage: UK
Geographic breakdown: UK and GB
25 Mar 10 Book
National Population Projections - Figure 7.9 Proportion of persons surviving (on a cohort basis) to successive ages 1851–2031 (Pdf 103Kb)
2008-based reference volume: Series PP2
Coverage: UK
Geographic breakdown: UK and GB
25 Mar 10 Book
National Population Projections - Figure 3.7 Actual and projected dependency ratios for populations of children and pensionable ages, 1971–2083 (Pdf 95Kb)
2008-based reference volume: Series PP2
Coverage: UK
Geographic breakdown: UK and GB
25 Mar 10 Book
National Population Projections - Figure 9.2 Actual and assumed total fertility rates, 1961–2033 (Pdf 89Kb)
2008-based reference volume: Series PP2
Coverage: UK
Geographic breakdown: UK and GB
25 Mar 10 Book
National Population Projections - Figure 8.6 International migration to/from the UK by citizenship country of origin/destination 1975–2008 projected trends 2018 (Pdf 118Kb)
2008-based reference volume: Series PP2
Coverage: UK
Geographic breakdown: UK and GB
25 Mar 10 Book
National Population Projections - Figure 9.12 Actual and projected total population, 1981–2058, Scotland (Pdf 93Kb)
2008-based reference volume: Series PP2
Coverage: Scotland
Geographic breakdown: Country
25 Mar 10 Book
National Population Projections - Figure 7.2 Period expectation of life at age 65 according to mortality rates experienced in given years, 1911–2008 (Pdf 91Kb)
2008-based reference volume: Series PP2
Coverage: UK
Geographic breakdown: UK and GB
25 Mar 10 Book
National Population Projections - Figure 9.10 Actual and projected total population, 1981–2058, England (Pdf 94Kb)
2008-based reference volume: Series PP2
Coverage: England
Geographic breakdown: Country
25 Mar 10 Book
National Population Projections - Figure 8.2 Actual and projected IPS migration to and from the UK, 1975–2018 (Pdf 90Kb)
2008-based reference volume: Series PP2
Coverage: UK
Geographic breakdown: UK and GB
25 Mar 10 Book
National Population Projections - Figure 8.1 Actual and assumed total net migration, 1991–92 to 2020–21 (Pdf 87Kb)
2008-based reference volume: Series PP2
Coverage: UK
Geographic breakdown: UK and GB
25 Mar 10 Book
National Population Projections - Figure 8.4 International migration to/from the UK by origin/destination 1975–2008 (including Pakistan throughout) (Pdf 118Kb)
2008-based reference volume: Series PP2
Coverage: UK
Geographic breakdown: UK and GB
25 Mar 10 Book
National Population Projections - Figure 9.13 Actual and projected total population, 1981–2058, Northern Ireland (Pdf 80Kb)
2008-based reference volume: Series PP2
Coverage: Northern Ireland
Geographic breakdown: Country
25 Mar 10 Book
National Population Projections - Figure 6.5 Actual and assumed total fertility rates, constituent countries of the UK, 1980–2030 (Pdf 92Kb)
2008-based reference volume: Series PP2
Coverage: UK
Geographic breakdown: Country, UK and GB
25 Mar 10 Book
National Population Projections - Figure 6.3 Difference between average achieved family size by age year birth woman, 1960 cohort compared women born 1950–1985 (Pdf 90Kb)
2008-based reference volume: Series PP2
Coverage: UK
Geographic breakdown: UK and GB
25 Mar 10 Book
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