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Special Events Calendar

Date of event Event Special Event status Clarification of event and affected outputs
2014      
18 September Scottish Referendum No The referendum will not be a statistical special event in itself. If the vote is for independence, the whole statistical system will need to be adjusted.
23 July to 3 August Commonwealth Games – Edinburgh to host    
January and February Continuing storms and high rainfall leading to flooding, loss of power and travel disruption. No. Although there was disruption in some areas it did not have an extended effect over many outputs. See http://www.ons.gov.uk/ons/guide-method/method-quality/general-methodology/special-events-group/adverse-weather-conditions-in-december-2013-and-january-and-february-2014.pdf
January Employment restrictions for Romanian and Bulgarian nationals lifted No A long-term (structural) change and therefore part of what the employment series are expected to measure.
2013      
December Storms and high rainfall leading to flooding and loss of power in some areas. No. Although there was disruption in some areas it did not have an extended effect over many outputs.  
8 November Typhoon in the Philippines No Effect not expected to be detectable given normal variation in series
1-16 October US government shutdown No Effect not expected to be detectable given normal variation in series
22 July Birth of Prince George No. There were no changes to holiday or work patterns, and any effects are unlikely to be detectable or to affect multiple series.
1 July Croatia accession to the European Union No.  
End March Snowfall in the north and cold temperatures No. Although there was disruption in some areas it did not have an extended effect over many outputs.  
20 March PCS Strike No. The effect of the strike was not distinguishable from the normal variation in the series.  
2012      
November Flooding after heavy rain in many areas No  
27 July to 12 August and 29 August to 9 September London Olympics and Paralympics Yes

Some elements of Olympic expenditure (particularly ticket sales) were included in series at the time of the Olympics, and normal patterns of tourism and travel were disrupted. For more detail of how series were affected see this article (229 Kb Pdf) , and for more information on which aspects were expected to be affected see the Olympics information note.

Quarterly National Accounts – Q3 2012

Second Estimate of GDP – Q3 2012

Gross Domestic Product Preliminary Estimate – Q3 2012

Index of Production –  September 2012

Index of Production – August 2012

Index of Production – July 2012

Index of Services – September 2012

Index of Services – August 2012

Index of Services - July 2012

UK Trade –  September 2012

UK Trade – August 2012

UK Trade - July 2012

Labour Market –  November 2012

Labour Market Statistics – October 2012

Labour Market Statistics - September 2012

Overseas travel and tourism – September 2012

Overseas travel and tourism – August 2012

Overseas travel and tourism - July 2012

Construction –  September and Q3 2012

Construction – August 2012

Construction - July 2012

April - June Wettest April to June since records began No. This is part of the normal weather-based variation in the statistics

Retail Sales June 2012

GDP Preliminary Release Q2 2012

Construction June and Q2 2012

5 June (but also affected 28 May and 4 June) The Queen's Diamond Jubilee Yes

Affected both May and June figures across many economic outputs and made interpretation of changes when including those months less certain. There was coordination of commentary across outputs, and the way that this event was factored in to nowcasts of GDP components was explained in an article released alongside the preliminary estimate of GDP.

Index of Production - June 2012

GDP Preliminary Release - Q2 2012

Construction - June and Q2 2012

Index of Services - June 2012

Retail Sales Index - June 2012

Labour Market Statistics - August 2012

10 May Public sector strike No. The effect of the strike was not distinguishable from the normal variation in the series   
2011
30 November Public sector strike No. The effect of the strike was not distinguishable from the normal variation in the series There was coordination across affected output.
6 August to 10 August UK Riots No. The effect of the riots were not distinguishable from the normal variation in the series

Economic Review - September 2011

30 June PCS strike No. The effect of the strike was not distinguishable from the normal variation in the series
April Warmest April since records began No*. This is part of the normal weather-based variation in the statistics

Retail Sales Index - April 2011

Index of Production - April 2011

GDP - Quarter 2 2011

Index of Services - April 2011

29 April Royal Wedding Yes*

GDP - Quarter 2 2011

March Earthquake in Japan No*

GDP - Quarter 2 2011

4 January VAT increase to 20% No. The only series where the effect of VAT is not already accounted for is CPI/RPI

CPI - January 2011

Winter weather and VAT changes effect Retail Sales - February 2011

Retail Sales Index - January 2011

2010
December Bad weather Yes. Although this is part of the normal weather-based variation in the series, it disrupted transport and outside work for an extended period

GDP - Quarter 4 2010

Index of Production - December 2010

Retail Sales Index - December 2010

Winter weather and VAT changes effect Retail Sales - February 2011

Index of Services - December 2010

April/May Ash cloud

Yes. The principle effect was in the International Passenger Survey, but there were impacts in other series too.

1 January VAT increase to 17.5% No. The only series where the effect of VAT is not already accounted for is CPI/RPI

CPI - January 2010

2008

1 December VAT decrease to 15% No. The only series where the effect of VAT is not already accounted for is CPI/RPI

2002

 

 

 

June The Queen's Golden Jubilee Yes Jubilee Effect Distorts Data - December 2002

* These events were treated as a group of events all affecting outputs in April 2011, when the group was regarded as Special.

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