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Special events calendar

Date of event

Event

Special event status

Clarification of event and affected outputs

2014

18 September

Scottish Referendum

No

The referendum was not a statistical special event in itself

23 July to 3 August

Commonwealth Games – Glasgow to host

January and February

Continuing storms and high rainfall leading to flooding, loss of power and travel disruption

No - although there was disruption in some areas it did not have an extended effect over many outputs

See article Adverse weather conditions in December 2013 and January and February 2014 (49.9 Kb Pdf)

January

Employment restrictions for Romanian and Bulgarian nationals lifted

No

A long-term (structural) change and therefore part of what the employment series are expected to measure

2013

December

Storms and high rainfall, leading to flooding and loss of power in some areas

No - although there was disruption in some areas, it did not have an extended effect over many outputs

8 November

Typhoon in the Philippines

No

Effect not expected to be detectable, given normal variation in series

1 to 16 October

US government shutdown

No

Effect not expected to be detectable, given normal variation in series

22 July

Birth of Prince George

No - there were no changes to holiday or work patterns, and any effects are unlikely to be detectable or to affect multiple series

1 July

Croatia accession to the European Union

No

End March

Snowfall in the north and cold temperatures

No - although there was disruption in some areas, it did not have an extended effect over many outputs

20 March

Public and Commercial Services (PCS) Union strike

No - the effect of the strike was not distinguishable from the normal variation in the series

2012

November

Flooding after heavy rain in many areas

No

27 July to 12 August and 29 August to 9 September

London Olympics and Paralympics

Yes

Some elements of Olympic expenditure (particularly ticket sales) were included in series at the time of the Olympics, and normal patterns of tourism and travel were disrupted. The article Statistical Special Events in Quarter Three 2012 – the Olympics & Paralympics (229 Kb Pdf) (229 Kb PDF) provides more detail on how the series were affected, and the Olympics Information Note provides more information on which aspects were expected to be affected.

Quarterly National Accounts, Q3 2012

Gross Domestic Product Preliminary Estimate, Q3 2012

Second Estimate of GDP, Q3 2012

Index of Production, September 2012

Index of Production, August 2012

Index of Production, July 2012

Index of Services,  September 2012

Index of Services, August 2012

Index of Services, July 2012

UK Trade, September 2012

UK Trade, August 2012

UK Trade, July 2012

Labour Market Statistics, November 2012

Labour Market Statistics, October 2012

Labour Market Statistics, September 2012

Overseas Travel and Tourism - Monthly Release, September 2012

Overseas Travel and Tourism - Monthly Release, August 2012

Overseas Travel and Tourism - Monthly Release, July 2012

Output in the Construction Industry, September and Q3 2012

Output in the Construction Industry, August 2012

Output in the Construction Industry, July 2012

April to June

Wettest April to June since records began

No - this is part of the normal weather-based variation in the statistics

Retail Sales, June 2012

Gross Domestic Product: Preliminary Estimate, Q2 2012

Output in the Construction Industry, June and Q2 2012

5 June (but also affected 28 May and 4 June)

The Queen's Diamond Jubilee

Yes

Affected both May and June figures across many economic outputs and made interpretation of changes when including those months less certain. There was coordination of commentary across outputs, and the way that this event was factored in to nowcasts of GDP components was explained in the Statistical Special Events, Q2 2012 article released alongside the GDP preliminary estimate.

Index of Production, June 2012

Gross Domestic Product: Preliminary Estimate, Q2 2012

Output in the Construction Industry, June and Q2 2012

Index of Services, June 2012

Retail Sales, June 2012

Labour Market Statistics, August 2012

10 May

Public sector strike

No - the effect of the strike was not distinguishable from the normal variation in the series

2011

30 November

Public sector strike

No - the effect of the strike was not distinguishable from the normal variation in the series

There was coordination across affected output

6 August to 10 August

UK riots

No - the effect of the riots were not distinguishable from the normal variation in the series

Economic Review,  September 2011

30 June

Public and Commercial Services (PCS) Union strike

No - the effect of the strike was not distinguishable from the normal variation in the series

April

Warmest April since records began

No* - this is part of the normal weather-based variation in the statistics

Retail Sales, April 2011

Index of Production, April 2011

Gross Domestic Product: Preliminary Estimate, Q2 2011

Index of Services, April 2011

29 April

Royal wedding

Yes*

Gross Domestic Product: Preliminary Estimate, Q2 2011

March

Earthquake in Japan

No*

Gross Domestic Product: Preliminary Estimate, Q2 2011

4 January

VAT increase to 20%

No - the only series where the effect of VAT is not already accounted for is the Consumer Price Index and Retail Price Index

Consumer Prices Indices, January 2011

Winter weather and VAT changes impact retail sales, Retail Sales News Release

Retail Sales, January 2011

2010

December

Bad weather

Yes - although this is part of the normal weather-based variation in the series, it disrupted transport and outside work for an extended period

Gross Domestic Product: Preliminary Estimate, Q4 2010

Index of Production, December 2010

Retail Sales, December 2010

Winter weather and VAT changes impact retail sales, Retail Sales News Release

Index of Services, December 2010

April/May

Ash cloud

Yes - the principal effect was in the International Passenger Survey, but there were impacts in other series too

1 January

VAT increase to 17.5%

No - the only series where the effect of VAT is not already accounted for is teh Consumer Price Index and Retail Price Index

Consumer Price Indices, January 2010

2008

1 December

VAT decrease to 15%

No - the only series where the effect of VAT is not already accounted for is the Consumer Price Index and Retail Price Index

2002

June

The Queen's Golden Jubilee

Yes

Jubilee Effect Distorts Data

 

 

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